Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Gold: Will Crash-Like Conditions Continue?
"Take a step back. We've broken support. We're well below it. It's a key shelf. Unless you rally and close back above this 1520-1535 zone, you've got to be bearish looking for lower prices."

By Nico Isaac
4/15/2013 5:15:00 PM

"Crash-like conditions," "panic selling" – those are just two phrases used to describe the massive sell-off underway in gold since Friday, April 12. On Monday, April 15, gold prices plummeted 10% in their biggest single-day decline in three decades.

Filed Under: copper futures, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, Gold, gold futures, platinum futures, precious metals, silver, technical analysis, trade targets, volatility

Category: Gold and Silver


S&P 500 Follows the Elliott Wave Script
See why our April 2 forecast called for a sharp drop in the S&P 500.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/5/2013 3:15:00 PM

Tuesday evening (Apr. 2), with the S&P 500 just 3 points from its intraday high that day of 1573.66, Steve Hochberg posted an urgent, unscheduled issue of The Short Term Update. Steve showed subscribers this chart, and said...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, S&P 500, technical analysis, volatility

Category: Stocks


NASDAQ's 15% Drop in 2000: a Snapshot of Market History or a Picture of its Future?
Is increased stock market volatility just ahead?

By Bob Stokes
3/27/2013 5:15:00 PM

From March to April 2000, the NASDAQ declined 15%. Many investors bought the dip in the months after the peak, but it was only the beginning of a larger decline. In the 2000-2002 price plunge, the technology-heavy index lost a whopping 78%. Do investors today have a similar mindset to the prevailing market psychology of 2000? Recent sentiment measures say "Yes."

 

Filed Under: Bear market, buy and hold, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, history, investor psychology, market crash, Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, sentiment, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks


Market Insight: Euro Hits New Low for 2013
EURUSD may be close to a pivotal point -- and a rare opportunity.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/25/2013 6:00:00 PM

On Sunday night (Eastern time, March 24), EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the world's most-traded forex market, saw a lot of volatility. The euro first fell 50 pips, then jumped 100, then fell hard again. Without a doubt, these gyrations looked chaotic to many forex observers. Yet we are proud to say ...

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, U.S. dollar, volatility

Category: Currencies


European Markets: Are 'Happy Days Here Again'?
Page one of The European Financial Forecast: A chart of Euro Stoxx volatility reveals if a drop in fear means a rise in stocks.

By Nico Isaac
3/7/2013 10:15:00 AM

When the 2007-2009 financial crisis nearly unravelled the global economy, many investors hid under their virtual beds, and parked the bulk of their wealth in safe-haven products. Now it's 2013, and a recent Wall Street Journal article describes an almost emboldening epidemic affecting the world's market participants known as "fear fatigue."

Filed Under: DAX, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, financial forecast, FTSE, sentiment, VIX, volatility

Category: European Markets


Gold: Time to Abandon the Near-term Forecast?
EWI's Metals Specialty Service's brand-new video reveals how the rally in gold fits with the big picture

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2013 6:45:00 PM

Over the past two weeks, gold prices have been on a wild ride indeed. The first move of consequence came on Feb. 15, in a powerful sell off that pushed prices below the $1600 level (intraday) for the first time in six months. From there the nosedive continued, until gold caught its breath at a nine-month low on Feb. 21. In the days that followed gold slowly climbed -- until today (February 26): Gold saw its biggest one-day gain for the year.

 

 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Gold, precious metals, Traders, volatility

Category: Gold and Silver


Ending Diagonal: A Pattern That Sends Shivers Down Investors' Spines
How a classic technical pattern played out in the stock market

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2013 5:15:00 PM

Classic chart formations include the head-and-shoulders pattern, double top or bottom, triple top or bottom, ascending or descending triangle and the list goes on. Also consider the Elliott wave pattern called the ending diagonal. Here's what Frost and Prechter say in the Elliott Wave Principle about how the ending diagonal got its name.

Filed Under: diagonal triangle, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, financial forecast, history, market forecasts, technical analysis, trendlines, volatility

Category: Stocks


An Overconfident Market Could Be Charging Into Its Own Waterloo
Stock prices could make a hasty retreat

By Bob Stokes
1/17/2013 10:30:00 AM

Even after an unprecedented market rise, the conviction that the bull's run has more to go is stronger than ever. Market history indicates that investor overconfidence may occur right before market rallies meet their Waterloos. Learn why the first Elliott Wave Theorist of 2013 says, "This is a momentous time in the stock market."

Filed Under: CNBC, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, history, market forecasts, sentiment, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility

Category: Stocks


Chaos and the Stock Market May Be Set to Collide
Contemplate what's ahead for the markets BEFORE it happens

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2013 12:45:00 PM

To err is human. This truism is conspicuously true of financial markets -- especially when human error meets the limits of modern technology. Bob Prechter elaborates:

"Trading stocks, options and futures could be extremely problematic during ..."

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, CNBC, conquer the crash, Elliott wave, history, liquidity, market crash, market forecasts, risk management, Traders, trading lessons, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


Crude Oil: A Jarring Ride
The market's internal signals give you some much-needed objectivity

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/20/2012 6:15:00 PM

Crude oil futures have been on a quite a rollercoaster ride this week: After a 2.7% gain on Monday (Nov. 19), Tuesday's 3.4% drop erased those gains and them some. While the absolute majority of forecasters look to the news reports from Gaza to make their next projection, here at Elliott Wave International we keep focusing on the market's internals.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, volatility

Category: Energy


The Dow Industrials 1,000-Point Slide May Only Be the Start
Learn about the larger trend driving the Dow's drop -- FREE

By Bob Stokes
11/14/2012 4:45:00 PM

Some observers believe that the stock market's price slide is just a "normal correction" following the run-up since June. Yet as you review EWI's Financial Forecast Service, you may reach a different conclusion. To that end, EWI has introduced The Financial Forecast Service Special Event! Learn more about this rare FREE event now.
 

Filed Under: market forecasts, momentum, technical indicators, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks


The Forecast for a Stock Market Volatility Surge
Are you strapped in for what's next?

By Bob Stokes
11/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

After the Dow Industrials climbed to 13,610 on Oct. 5, stock prices returned to their lowest level since early August. In fact, the trading session following the presidential election delivered a 313-point Dow Industrials plunge -- the steepest sell-off since Nov. 9, 2011. And now, the new November Financial Forecast shows the chart of a major stock market index, which includes a label that puts prices in the context of a 38-year trendline.
 

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Fibonacci, financial forecast, market forecasts, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


Beware the Calm Before the Historic Financial Storm
Will investors be prepared for the panic?

By Bob Stokes
10/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

Few investors in recent weeks have been concerned about wild swings in market prices. In a word, market participants have been complacent. Find out why this mind-set may be perilous to portfolios.
 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, market forecasts, sentiment, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks


S&P 500: "Uncertainty" Does Not Have to Prevail
Think of Elliott waves as a map.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/2/2012 7:30:00 PM

Three factors were blamed for the volatile stock market trading we've seen this week: uncertainty over Spain's bailout and U.S. stock earnings, and a strong U.S. manufacturing report. On balance, said the experts, these factors gave us a lot of volatility, but little net progress. And here's how an Elliott wave trader might have looked at this week's market action...

Filed Under: diversification, earnings, Elliott wave, S&P 500, technical analysis, trade targets, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility

Category: Stocks


The "Arab Spring": Was It Predictable? Yes, With Socionomics
Article excerpt from Mark Galasiewski

By Clifford Smith
9/14/2012 11:15:00 AM

Learn how socionomics predicted the current Middle Eastern violence -- over two years ago.

Filed Under: Bear market, Elliott wave, social mood, socionomics, terrorist attacks, The Socionomist, volatility

Category: Socionomics


U.S. Stocks: "The Countdown to a Volatility Blastoff" Is On
A rude interruption ahead for low volume trading

By Bob Stokes
8/31/2012 9:45:00 AM

Have you noticed the market's recent lackluster trading? Not only have prices traded in a narrow range; trading volume itself has been weak. The entire price rise of the past three months occurred as volatility was decreasing. What can you expect when volatility starts to increase?...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, market forecasts, momentum, U.S. STOCK MARKET, VIX, volatility, volume

Category: Stocks


When an Over-Ripe Market is Ready to Spoil
Reliable internal measures tell a story investors need to know

By Bob Stokes
8/17/2012 2:30:00 PM

A healthy bull market sports broad participation among different sectors and indexes. Up days are consistently accompanied by high volume; momentum is strong. The indicators EWI watches suggest this market is...
 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investment decisions, market forecasts, momentum, S&P 500, technical analysis, technical indicators, trade targets, Traders, VIX, volatility

Category: Stocks


Natural Gas: Putting Near-Term Volatility in its Place
Real-life lesson on how Elliott wave guidelines kept EWI's Energy Specialty Service on the right side of natural gas's recent slide

By Nico Isaac
8/3/2012 4:15:00 PM

Trying to navigate the combustible twists and turns in natural gas futures can feel a lot like walking through a mine field with clown shoes on. According to Reuters' data, between the years 2000 and 2010, natural gas prices fluctuated by more than 5 percent once every 7 days -- making it the most volatile commodity in the world.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, natural gas, volatility

Category: Energy


How to Trade Successfully in a Volatile Market [Free Webinar]
Learn to "make order out of chaos" with the Elliott Wave Principle and Beacon Learning Group

By Jill Noble
7/31/2012 5:00:00 PM

This webinar -- available exclusively to Elliott Wave International readers -- will help you understand how to prepare for and even benefit from extreme volatility in the market...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave Principle, Elliott Wave trading, risk management, technical analysis, technical indicators, Traders, trading lessons, volatility

Category: Education


The Surge Higher in U.S. Markets: "The Stage is Being Set"
The market's main trend stays the same

By Bob Stokes
7/26/2012 1:30:00 PM

The Financial Forecast Short Term Update went on to describe what the stock market is setting the stage for. It is not what most investors expect. The pattern in the major U.S. stock indexes has been 80 years in the making -- which is to say, the pattern is unfolding at a large degree of trend...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, financial forecast, long-term trend, market forecasts, Short Term Update, stock indexes, volatility

Category: Stocks


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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.