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Bad Breadth in Asia

By Editorial Staff
5/15/2013 5:15:00 PM

Last month, we highlighted the bullish divergence between our proprietary breadth indicator and stock prices (indicated by the green lines). The MSCI Asia Index slid a little bit lower and then jumped over 7% in three weeks. The red lines over last week’s activity indicate an equally clear bearish divergence. Are Asian equities due for a drop?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Investing, Elliott Wave Principle, fundamental analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

A Textbook Wave Pattern in Russia's RTS

By Editorial Staff
5/14/2013 12:45:00 PM

Following an impulsive decline, one common Wave Principle guideline is to look for a corrective wave to find resistance in the previous fourth-wave range. Another common guideline is Fibonacci-based: looking for resistance near a 38.2% retracement of the previous impulse wave. Both are exhibited on this chart of Russia’s RTS Index.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Investing, europe, European Markets, fundamental analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

U.S. Stocks Have Been Climbing. What Does That Mean for India and China?
Sometimes global markets move in tandem, and sometimes they don't.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2013 11:30:00 AM

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, central banks, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Investing, fundamental analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

Australia's Banking Boom: Knock on Wood
How Elliott wave analysis -- not luck -- propelled the ASX 200's rally to five-year highs

By Nico Isaac
5/9/2013 12:15:00 PM

In April 2013, use of the 'b' word -- as in "bubble" showed up in a surprising region of the world: the Australian banking sector. Turns out that major Aussie lenders have enjoyed a powerful upswing since the start of the year. As a recent Wall Street Journal article wrote: "It's astonishing given the size of Australia, its population, economy and banking system, relative to other countries like the US, China, Japan and the UK."

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Investing, Elliott Wave Principle, technical analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

Silver Chart Sports Classic Elliott Wave Patterns, Suggests New Lows Ahead

By Editorial Staff
5/7/2013 11:30:00 AM

On Monday, Steve Hochberg's Short Term Update shared this fully labeled chart of silver, titled "New Lows Ahead." 

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Investing, Elliott Wave Principle, steve hochberg, technical analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

EURUSD: Key Fibonacci Resistance Caps the Rally
The "magic" of 38.2% and 62.8% Fibonacci retracements.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2013 2:45:00 PM

Fibonacci numbers both shape and appear in market action much more than you hear discussed in financial news. Time and again, you see markets drawn to certain levels -- and once they get hit, prices stall or reverse. That's been the case with EURUSD, the most traded currency pair. Take a look...

 

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott Wave Trading, Forex, U.S. dollar

Category: Subscriber Updates

In the Markets, Perfect Doesn't Exist -- But Useful Does

By Editorial Staff
5/1/2013 4:45:00 PM

In the markets, perfect doesn't exist -- but useful does. In this chart you can see a sample of a technical indicator that a Charles H. Dow Award winning analyst uses in conjunction with Elliott wave analysis.

Filed Under: europe, European Markets, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Subscriber Updates

The UK Avoids Recession. Proof Positive of Recovery?
And why taking the experts at their word may not be the safest decision.

By Nico Isaac
4/30/2013 12:00:00 PM

In the morning hours of April 25, the UK financial community was a picture of Hunger Games-like angst. Huddled masses stood around the Office for National Statistics, waiting nervously to hear whether the name -- Britain -- would be drawn to participate in a highly dreaded recession.  

Filed Under: europe, European Markets, U.S. Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

Technical Analysis Isn’t Perfect
Sometimes divergences between price and momentum matter more than at other times

By Editorial Staff
4/30/2013 11:00:00 AM

Technical analysis isn't perfect. For example, sometimes divergences between price and momentum matter more than at other times. For instance, take a look at this chart of the Topix:

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, Elliott Wave Investing, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Subscriber Updates

One Cool Rule of Thumb About Diagonal Triangles
See what happens when we apply this lesson to the Shanghai Composite.

By Editorial Staff
4/23/2013 1:30:00 AM

One cool and quite reliable rule of thumb about diagonal triangles is that the good ones usually completely retrace themselves in one-third to one-half the time it takes them to form. Looks like the Shanghai Composite has a good head start – or is it already running into trouble?  See the chart.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, Elliott Wave Investing, technical analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

Have You Seen an Extended Fifth Wave in Real Time?
Take a look at this chart of the Nikkei 225.

By Editorial Staff
4/18/2013 11:45:00 AM

Sure, you’ve read about extended fifth waves in Elliott Wave Principle, but have you ever actually seen one in real time? The Nikkei 225 chart within may provide a great example.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

When Nobody Loved the Poor Euro
What does it mean when the majority are piled on one side?

By Editorial Staff
4/9/2013 1:30:00 PM

There were times when nobody loved the euro. In this chart, European Short Term Update Editor, Chris Carolan shows that when the majority have been down on the Continent's currency, it has been ready for a move in the opposite direction.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Investing, europe, European Markets, Forex

Category: Subscriber Updates

At Least Two of the PIGS Are Living Up to Their Rude Nickname

By Editorial Staff
4/4/2013 10:45:00 AM

At least two of the PIGS are living up to their rude nickname. European Short Term Update Editor, Chris Carolan thinks there's more to come for Italy and Spain.  Take a peek at the chart from last night's issue.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, europe, European Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

A Closer Look at the S&P 500

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2013 6:00:00 PM

While the market's ups and downs may look random to someone unfamiliar with Elliott wave analysis, an Elliottician sees patterns. Once you identify the wave pattern the market is currently in, you can make a reasonable forecast as to what should come next. This chart gives you a glimpse of our latest thinking on the S&P 500...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, technical analysis, U.S. Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

Have You Noticed the Strong Correlation Between the Japanese Yen and the Nikkei During the Past Few Months?

By Editorial Staff
4/1/2013 9:00:00 PM

Asian-Pacific Short Term Update Editor Chris Carolan saw a correlation between the Japanese Yen and the Nikkei early on and notified his subscribers with a chart and ongoing analysis that prepared them for some of the strongest market action in past months.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets, Elliott Wave Investing, Elliott Wave Principle, Forex

Category: Subscriber Updates

Abenomics in Japan: Have They Fueled the Nikkei's Astounding Surge?
Nope, Japan's market action is a matter of pattern, not policy, says EWI analyst

By Nathaniel Williams
4/1/2013 5:30:00 PM

Case in point: The Asian-Pacific Financial Forecastdid not attribute the Nikkei's surge to Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's new economic policies -- because it had already anticipated the move a month before his election victory.

Filed Under:

Category: Subscriber Updates

Do Greece's Problems Matter to Other Countries?

By Editorial Staff
3/28/2013 11:30:00 AM

Do Greece's problems matter to other countries? The Spanish stock market sure looks like it’s been bothered by something in the last two weeks. It's dropped by about 10%.

Filed Under:

Category: Subscriber Updates

Crude Oil: Elliott Waves Suggest Opportunity in Progress
Take a look at how well crude has followed it Elliott wave script.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/26/2013 3:30:00 PM

As you see, in late February, Energy Specialty Service was expecting crude drop to near $90. A sharp upward reversal was due next. Oil fell to $89.78 a barrel in early March. From there, because the decline was likely a wave 2, oil indeed took off sharply -- in wave 3. This 180-minute chart shows you just how well crude has followed it Elliott wave script -- and where it should go next.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Trading, technical analysis

Category: Subscriber Updates

What Happened the Last Time Our Breadth Oscillator Got This Oversold?

By Editorial Staff
3/26/2013 3:15:00 PM

What happened the last time our proprietary Asian markets breadth oscillator got this oversold? See the chart from the latest Asian-Pacific Short Term Update and get the answer.

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

10-Year T-Notes: Why Yields May Be Rising Again Soon
And what that could mean for mortgage rates

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/18/2013 3:15:00 PM

LA Times has just reported that in February, home prices in Southern California shot up 21% versus the year before. Interestingly, "cash buyers remain a dominant force," spending an average of $320,000. But for those of us who don't have $320K jiggling in their pocket, a more important news story this week may be that mortgage rates have jumped.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Investing, market action, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. Markets

Category: Subscriber Updates

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© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.