Central Banks: Big Change Ahead

by Editorial Staff
Updated: August 08, 2022

The Fed doesn’t “drive” interest rates.” It’s a co-pilot, at best

While the Fed keeps rates, the 3- and 5-year U.S. inflation expectations the U.S. are declining fast, according to the Fed's own polls. Hmm.

Our subscribers know that the Fed doesn't set interest rates -- it simply follows the yields in the bond market.

It stands to reason, then, that to know where the rates go next, you need to watch the Elliott wave trend in the U.S. Treasuries.

Our monthly Global Market Perspective can show it to you right now -- along with updated forecasts for 50+ of the world's biggest markets.

A “Freight Train of Grains” Didn’t Cause Soybeans’ Recent Price Crash. So… What Did?

"Crash," "sink," "runaway freight train," and ever-lowering "limbo pole" are a few of the phrases used to describe the May selloff in grains, particularly soybeans. But before you blame the "bombshell" May 12 USDA supply/demand report for the slide, you'll want to read this first.

Commercial Real Estate: Prepare for a Potential Global Calamity

A lot of the commercial real estate market is faced with a decline in liquidity and falling values. The specter of defaults looms large. In at least one region of the world, there are reminders of the dark days of Q1 2009, as revealed by this chart.

'How people FEEL is how they ACT'

Like all ideas that make you want to slap yourself on the forehead and scream "How didn't I think of that!", the idea behind socionomics is simple: Social mood impels social action. When you know social mood's trend, you can forecast everything from the stock market to culture to politics and more. So, how then do you define the social mood trend? Watch our Head of Global Research touch on that in this video.