Updated: July 6, 2020Despite what financial stories said, the trends in coffee and orange juice changed when "virus spread" was already in news reports. See for yourself what our March 2020 Commodity Junctures Service publications called for.
Updated: May 29, 2020In mid-2018, news stories about cotton led traders to expect a rally. Yet our June 2018 Monthly Commodity Junctures anticipated a very big decline. See what actually happened, via Chart of the Day.
Updated: May 28, 2020Both Elliott waves and candlesticks are popular methods of technical market analysis. Watch as our Commodity Junctures editor shows you how candlesticks can confirm an Elliott wave count. Market in focus: coffee.
Updated: April 9, 2020
Only a few weeks ago, the financial news was running hugely bullish stories about the lumber market. Now see what followed after a contrarian forecast...
Updated: April 6, 2020
You can distill all Elliott wave trade setups down to just 4 high-confidence chart patterns. Among those 4, our Commodity Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy has an absolute favorite: the 4th wave pullback. Watch Jeffrey explain why he likes this setup so much -- in bull AND in bear markets.
Updated: March 13, 2020
NYMEX crude oil has been slashed in half since the start of 2020, with prices circling the drain of a four-year low on March 9. Mainstream fingers point to COVID-19, OPEC+ tensions, Saudi price cuts, and a U.S. travel ban -- as the catalysts for oil's "bloodbath." Our story shows why none of them fit the bill -- and what the real cause is.
Updated: March 12, 2020
Despite what you often hear from mainstream sources, it’s the stock market that leads the economy, not the other way around. But there are more ways to forecast what’s next for the economy. Take a look at this index, for example, which has been sending a warning signal since 2018, alongside the “softening” U.S. GDP numbers.
Updated: February 24, 2020
Elliott wave analysis offers forecasts that are independent of external market drama. See the chart and analysis that anticipated wheat's powerful rally from late August 2019 thru January 21, when prices hit an 18-month high.
Updated: February 21, 2020
The “moving average” is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. Let a veteran market technician tell you what he’s learned from using moving averages over the years. Take a look at the first chart in the free guide: “How You Can Find High-Probability Trading Opportunities Using Moving Averages.”
Updated: December 9, 2019
To understand Elliott wave analysis at work in actual world markets, let's review the recent history in an often-volatile commodity markets: sugar.
Updated: October 25, 2019
You can shrink all Elliott wave patterns down to just five "core" price patterns. One of them is the ending diagonal. Watch as our Commodity Junctures editor shows you how to spot it on a chart -- and more importantly, prepare for the "spectacular price move" that comes next.
Updated: October 17, 2019
You probably know that Elliott wave analysis has three strict rules, plus a handful of guidelines. When you apply them to price charts, you can set realistic price targets -- short- or long-term. Watch as our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor shows you how.
Updated: September 19, 2019
Besides Elliott wave patterns, there are other configurations in price charts that you can put to good use. While most of them can be described in terms of Elliott waves, in this video our Trader's Classroom editor shows you two that he calls "throwback" and "pullback." Watch.
Updated: July 17, 2019
Many Main Street investors would probably be surprised at how often the professionals on Wall Street are on the wrong side of major market turns. Gold is a prime example. Learn why this insight is especially important now...
Updated: July 5, 2019
Like 2005's Katrina, a major Gulf of Mexico hurricane can deal a heavy blow to crude oil production. Most financial and economic pundits would then conclude that such a supply disruption would send oil prices skyrocketing with demand. Yet this chart defies their Econ 101 logic.
Updated: June 25, 2019
Gold is trading at highs not seen since 2013. Will the rally continue? First, let’s talk about how we got here...
Updated: February 26, 2019
Most speculators had an unfavorable outlook for gold in August. Yet, EWI's Chief Market Analyst said "gold is in the late stage of its decline." The very next day, gold hit a low and its price began a steady march upward. Learn how the precious metals usually end a trend...
Updated: February 26, 2019
EWI's Commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy talks with Dana Weeks about his recent soybean oil forecast, complete with an in-depth show and tell with the chart.
Updated: February 20, 2019
Commodities may be more volatile than stock and bond markets, yet commodity prices still unfold in clear Elliott wave patterns. Those patterns are the signal amidst the noise -- see a case in point from a recent forecast in Monthly Commodities Junctures.
Updated: February 8, 2019
In this interview with Dana Weeks, Trader's Classroom editor Jeffrey Kennedy gives the big-picture details of an even bigger forecast in commodities ... back in 2011.
Updated: February 5, 2019
When’s the last time you looked at a chart and forecast that correctly anticipated a seven-year trend? See a case-in-point for yourself, in this Chart of the Day.
Updated: January 23, 2019
Cotton rallied in the first half of 2018: So, conventional wisdom called for even higher prices. Yet cotton did the opposite, spiraling lower into 2019. Now see what a contrarian voice said in the face of bullish sentiment.
Updated: January 17, 2019
From spring 2018 to late September, soybean prices plunged 20% to end at their lowest level in a decade. Mainstream experts were united: The catalyst was China's 25% import tax on U.S. soybeans. Our story sows a very different seed.
Updated: December 19, 2018
How could sugar go from a 4-year high in September 2016, to a disintegration that made it the "worst-performing commodity" of 2018? See the pattern and forecast that foretold the outcome.
Updated: September 26, 2018
After cocoa's fast, multi-month rally to begin the year, Daily Commodity Junctures’ editor Jeffrey Kennedy anticipated what was next: the big rally would give way to a trend reversal. See and hear what he said to subscribers.
Updated: September 21, 2018
In the first four months of 2018, the cocoa market looked like it was on a mad sugar rush: The "best-performing commodity of 2018." Cocoa was THE bull market. Yet, one analyst knew a peak when he saw it. Read his forecast, and see what followed.
Updated: August 10, 2018
This simple moving average "works equally well in commodities, currencies, and stocks"
Updated: June 1, 2018
An opportunity in commodity markets is only meaningful if you take advantage of it. For tips on how to do it, ElliottWaveTV sat down with Jeffrey Kennedy, long-time editor of our Commodity Junctures and experienced trading instructor.
Updated: May 4, 2018
Jeffrey Kennedy has been at the helm of our ever-popular Commodity Junctures for well over a decade. ElliottWaveTV asks what drew him to commodities in the first place, as well as what long-term cycle commodities are currently in.
Updated: April 23, 2018
When all markets within a complex move together, should that add to your confidence -- or is that irrelevant? ElliottWaveTV asked this and other questions to Jeffrey Kennedy, our long-time Commodity Junctures editor.
Updated: April 6, 2018
When it comes to commodity prices, sometimes it pays to watch other markets and indicators alongside Elliott waves. Jeffrey Kennedy, our long-time Commodity Junctures editor, tells you what indicators he monitors in this new ElliottWaveTV interview.
Updated: April 3, 2018
Fact: On March 23, lean hog prices plunged to a 4-month low. Not a fact: Hogs started falling the moment trade threats started flying between the U.S. and China. Here's how events really unfolded.
Updated: March 27, 2018
Many oil traders are often on the wrong side of the trend at major market turns. Why? They base their trading decisions on a faulty premise regarding oil prices and production. Get the insight you need to know.
Updated: March 9, 2018
You learn a lot when you observe (and forecast) market behavior for a couple of decades. Jeffrey Kennedy, our Commodity Junctures editor, tells you why the first few days of the month are so important for commodities in this new EllottWaveTV interview.
Updated: February 12, 2018
Despite the shake-up in the stock market and cryptocurrencies, commodities like corn and soybeans have been rising lately. There may be more "surprises" ahead -- ElliottWaveTV sat down with our Commodity Junctures editor, Jeffrey Kennedy, to get his latest thoughts.
Updated: January 12, 2018
Softs and grains have not been very exciting this year, so far. Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures, tells ElliottWave TV if he thinks the lack of volatility should persist.
Updated: December 18, 2017
At the start of November, the fundamental deck was stacked in the cocoa bulls' favor. But instead of rallying, prices turned down. The reason why might surprise you.
Updated: December 18, 2017
As 2018 is about to start, what commodity opportunities should you have your eye on? Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures, explains in the new interview.
Updated: December 13, 2017
In early November, all the fundamental stars were aligned for live cattle prices to soar. But instead, the market declined. The reason why might surprise you.
Updated: December 1, 2017
There is no question that cyclical and seasonal factors impact commodity prices. However, market psychology is also a huge factor -- and nothing helps you track it like Elliott wave analysis. Watch our Chief Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, give you his latest thoughts (softs and grains in focus).
Updated: November 30, 2017
In early November, Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy showed subscribers a budding third-wave rally on cotton's price chart. From there, cotton soared. This picture is worth one word: opportunity.
Updated: November 20, 2017
In this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of Commodity Junctures and Trader's Classroom, he discusses the larger trends across the softs and grains markets.
Updated: November 17, 2017
In early March, sugar prices hit a sour note and embarked on a precipitous sell-off. Truth to be told, we didn't expect the decline for much later. But that didn't mean we weren't prepared when it happened.
Updated: November 3, 2017
In this new interview with Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of our Commodity Junctures and Trader's Classroom, he tells you about his approach to market seasonality and explains how Elliott waves helps you ride long-term commodities cycles (focus: softs and grains).
Updated: October 30, 2017
In late September, the USDA dropped a bearish bombshell on the lean hog market. So, why then did hog prices proceed to rally to a two-plus month high? Miracle -- or something else?
Updated: October 16, 2017
In 2012, all fundamental signs in wheat's backdrop pointed UP. But instead, wheat prices entered a four-year long, 50%-plus deep bear market to a decade low before pausing. The grain went off its fundamental script. But it stayed true to its Elliott wave one.
Updated: October 13, 2017
Regardless of your method, it's hard to forecast a range-bound market. Yet, even corrections have internal order, despite their "messy" appearance.
Updated: October 6, 2017
Jeffrey Kennedy tells you why he expects volatility to increase across commodities this fall, and as we move into 2018.
Updated: October 5, 2017
Back in mid-2016, sugar prices were orbiting a 4-year high -- and all fundamental signs pointed in one direction: UP. But instead, the market soured to a 2-year low, which is why it may be time to break up with popular financial wisdom...
Updated: September 26, 2017
One day, coffee prices rise -- and the drought is blamed. Next day, despite the drought, coffee prices fall... and post-factum explanations shift elsewhere. Maybe there's something more to coffee's price swings than weather...
Updated: September 13, 2017
Many experts said orange juice was the single-most "hurricane-hit" commodity, with prices soaring ahead of Irma. But we believe there's more to this market's price trend than weather.
Updated: September 8, 2017
In early 2011, our senior commodities analyst Jeffrey Kennedy saw a very bearish picture on the long-term price chart of the bellwether Continuous Commodity Index -- that of a mature Elliott wave "impulse." We're now in year six of the bear market that followed.
Updated: September 6, 2017
In early 2014, lean hog prices stood at an all-time high amidst the most bullish fundamental backdrop in 30 years. And yet, prices got slaughtered in a 2-year long crash to 14-year lows. It's time to look beyond fundamentals to the other forces driving market trends.
Updated: August 29, 2017
If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?
Updated: August 25, 2017
What do the 2017 bear market sell-off in sugar and the August rally in soybean oil have in common? They're both classic Elliott wave examples of what happens when a third wave develops on a market's price chart -- namely, huge moves!
Updated: August 23, 2017
After aluminum prices soared to their highest level since 2014, the mainstream experts cited "deep capacity cuts" by China as the fundamental impetus for the rise. But what about seeing aluminum's bullish surge before it began? That's the story you want to hear!
Updated: August 18, 2017
From 2012 to 2016, soybean prices went from all-time high -- to -- 8-year low in a 50%-plus bear-market selloff. As it turns out, this dramatic reversal was a perfect example of one of our favorite Elliott wave patterns in action, the ending diagonal.
Updated: August 7, 2017
For traders, one of the best scenarios you can ask for is to catch a market as it's setting sail with the larger trend. Today, we use the recent sell-off in cocoa to show how Elliott wave analysis can help you do just that.
Updated: August 2, 2017
Learn how Japanese candlestick analysis can help support your technical trading decisions.
Updated: July 31, 2017
In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.
Updated: July 25, 2017
Over the last two years, sugar prices have crashed… and spiked… and crashed, providing huge opportunities for investors and traders -- IF they stayed out in front of the dramatic turns, that is. Here's what might have helped them.
Updated: July 24, 2017See just how much you can learn from three simple charts.
Updated: July 20, 2017
Some trends pull prices like a freight train, and jumping on the wrong one can cost you dearly. That's why, in the Elliott wave approach, identifying the trend is paramount. Let's look at crude oil prices as an example.
Updated: June 15, 2017
Dear crude oil traders, the key to the market's next big move isn't in the next inventory report, or OPEC supply cut, or (fill in the blank). It's on the market's price chart, right now!
Updated: June 15, 2017
On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.
Updated: June 14, 2017
June 14: Fed Day! It's supposedly the one day gold investors can clearly predict the precious metal's next move based on the Fed's hawkish or dovish tone. But history shows gold prices are NOT being led by the Fed at all.
Updated: June 7, 2017
In late March, all fundamental signs in the market for lean hogs pointed in one clear direction: down. And yet, hog prices enjoyed a powerful rally to fresh contract highs. Find out the real story here!
Updated: May 26, 2017
Before the May 25 OPEC meeting, crude oil price rose to $52 a barrel. And then, as the meeting statements were released, crude sank more than 5%. You could say it's a classic case of "buy the rumor, sell the news." But we believe there was another pattern at play here.
Updated: May 19, 2017
See why our Chief Energy Analyst believes that regardless of what OPEC does, it's unlikely to change oil's dominant trend.
Updated: May 5, 2017Tom Denham tells you why looking at the U.S. dollar, interest rates and politics are the wrong tools when trying to forecast the price action in gold. Here's what's a better indicator.
Updated: April 21, 2017
Tom Denham outlines the Elliott wave patterns he's looking at in copper, aluminum and gold and discusses what these patterns imply for the future of these markets.
Updated: April 20, 2017
The real news for silver prices is all about sentiment: Are Silver Traders "Way Too Bullish"? See and hear the evidence...
Updated: April 12, 2017
Steve Craig, the Editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains that when looking across the energy complex, 2017 is playing out according to his Elliott wave script.
Updated: April 11, 2017
The search for recoverable crude never stops. But, the search is more active at some times than at others -- drilling for crude is immensely expensive and full of risk. Yet here's what is especially relevant to our forecast: The search for crude is a collective activity. So it's no surprise that the oil rig count reflects a textbook Elliott Wave pattern. See it for yourself on our unique chart.
Updated: April 10, 2017
At the start of 2017, China and the U.S. were engaged in a bitter “Aluminum War” – one widely expected to keep the metal’s price under pressure. And yet, since early January, aluminum prices have rallied to a 2-year high. Our take on why might surprise you.
Updated: August 22, 2016
In part 2 of our in-depth conversation with Steve Craig, Elliot Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, he reveals why the volatility in crude oil and natural gas keeps him excited about the markets he covers.
Updated: February 22, 2016
Learn more about our Chief Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, and what he thinks makes Elliott wave principle so compelling: Namely, that it puts price action into context of a larger trend.
Updated: November 24, 2015
Trendlines: You may have heard of them. Now, see how effective this simple technical tool can be for identifying high-confidence trade set-ups in real-world financial markets. Examples: gold and O.J.
Updated: November 12, 2015
"Most investors follow the actions of others, whether they are on the right side of the market or not. The result is that prices move according to investors' optimism and pessimism. Investors use the news to rationalize their emotional decisions -- and most people lose money." How can you avoid that?
Updated: July 29, 2015Why do some traders jump in too early and take positions when an Elliott wave pattern demonstrates only one or two of the necessary traits? Find the answer -- and the solution -- with a quick lesson from our Trader's Classroom editor, Jeffrey Kennedy.
Updated: June 24, 2015
One of the most common requests we get from traders is: Can you teach me how to look at a chart and find opportunities for myself?
Updated: December 30, 2014
Use this free lesson to brush up on methods and indicators that can help you improve your confidence in your own market analysis.
Why investors should consider technical analysis. Plus, EWI's Chief Energy Analyst explains how he factors extreme weather events into his analysis. Lastly, see why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market.
Updated:Our first feature looks at a gold forecast that many may have missed. Then we speak with Jeffrey Kennedy who outlines the four key principles that'll help improve Elliott wave skills. And lastly, we explore why AAA credit ratings aren't always what they seem.
Updated: January 1, 0001
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