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Credit Suisse: How the Price of Credit-Default Swaps Provided a Warning
Updated: March 28, 2023
The price of default insurance (credit-default swaps) has skyrocketed with Credit Suisse, and now, Deutsche Bank. Elliott Wave International warned of this back in November. Prepare now for the "point of recognition."The Shocking Truth About the FDIC and Your Bank Deposits
Updated: March 14, 2023
Will the FDIC protect your deposits in case your bank goes under? If another financial crisis hits, millions of depositors may be more vulnerable than they realize. Here are insights you need to know.Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate and “The Everything Bust”
Updated: March 14, 2023
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank (as well as Silvergate Bank) may be an extension of what we call "The Everything Bust." This bust involves an array of financial assets -- and is already underway. Are you prepared for what's next?U.S. Money Supply Deflates 2% Annually (What That Means)
Updated: March 9, 2023
This emerging story involves an imploding debt bomb, the threat of recession and even a developing deflation. These two charts help to convey the likelihood of a darker financial scene -- just ahead.Important Insights into the Looming Debt Crisis
Updated: February 16, 2023
Many people don't consider the national debt to be relevant to their daily lives. However, the amount the U.S. has borrowed, along with interest payments, is rapidly approaching the crisis stage. Here are some important insights.How This Pattern from the Prior Housing Bust is Repeating
Updated: February 15, 2023
The housing market is wobbly at the knees so don't be surprised by another fall. Droves of real estate agents are already headed out the door -- just like what occurred at a similar stage during the prior housing bust. Learn why this next collapse could be even worse.Why the Recession Consensus Might Be Too Optimistic
Updated: February 7, 2023
Several prominent economic observers say they expect a recession in the months ahead. However, the consensus is rarely correct. So, does that mean the economy will likely avoid a recession? Not necessarily -- let me explain.The ECB Is Hiking Rates Less! That's great... Wait, it's not?
Updated: January 20, 2023
Ever think something is good news only to find out differently? In this excerpt from the January Global Market Perspective, EWI's Brian Whitmer looks at what happened in the past when the ECB stopped rate hikes and what happened to the stock market afterwards."Quiet markets tend to be trouble"
Updated: January 17, 2023
Recent investor optimism (and low volatility) over different asset classes -- forex, commodities, and precious metals among them -- has caught the eye of our Global Market Strategist, Brian Whitmer. Watch Brian give this and other highlights from the new, January issue of Global Market Perspective in this video.U.S. Real Estate: See This Pattern Stretching Back to the 1960s
Updated: January 17, 2023
Home prices have cooled off recently, as you know, and most mainstream experts see it as a good sign. Now see this chart of U.S. Median Price for Houses Sold going back some 60 years in the new video by our Financial Forecast co-editor, Peter Kendall.Banks: Which Ones Will be Left Standing?
Updated: January 13, 2023
Some banks are financially stronger than others. During the next financial downturn, the strength of your bank will be critical. Even today, there are warning signs about what may be ahead.Why the Threat of Deflation is Real
Updated: December 29, 2022
Inflation has grabbed the headlines for many months now. Is a shift now underway toward deflation? Take a look at these two charts.Major Fed Myth: Debunked
Updated: December 29, 2022
Many financial-market observers believe that central banks set the trend of interest rates. You may be surprised to learn that this is not so. Let's explore the relationship between rates set by the market and rates set by these two central banks.Indicators, Leading and Contrarian
Updated: December 23, 2022
What's the best leading indicator for the economy? That's easy: The stock market. Decades of data back this up. Even so, other variables can also serve as leading economic indicators...What’s Next for Real Estate? Watch This Indicator
Updated: December 21, 2022
The U.S. real estate market has cooled down considerably versus a year and a half ago. Home sales have been in a multi-month slide -- and, many say, this portends even lower prices. But most real estate observers don't mention this housing market indicator. Discover what it is now.What Are Bond Yields Saying About the Economy?
Updated: December 19, 2022
Is there a relationship between bond yields and the economy? See the answer for yourself in Chart of the Day.Stocks and Economy: Why 2022 May Have Just Been the Preview
Updated: December 13, 2022
Warnings seem unnecessary to heed when times are good. But that's the very time to prepare for the proverbial rainy day -- let alone storm. A global economic storm likely looms. Are you prepared?Even Higher Inflation? Hmm … Maybe Not
Updated: December 8, 2022
Some observers say that high inflation will be with us for a considerable time longer. But the evidence suggests that this view might be off the mark. Here are some key insights.“Banks are becoming more cautious about lending”
Updated: November 10, 2022
Banks are tightening credit standards. This is par for the course when social mood is trending negatively. Take a look at this chart.One Chart, High-Confidence Message: "Lower"
Updated: November 7, 2022
Sometimes, you glance at a market chart and your heart skips a bit -- because the message is SO clear. Watch our Global Market Perspective contributor Murray Gunn highlight a chart from the new, November issue.4 Highlights from Our New European Financial Forecast
Updated: November 7, 2022
Watch our monthly European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer gives you 4 highlights from the new, November issue in this video.Commercial Real Estate: Here’s What Elliott Waves Signal
Updated: October 25, 2022
Commercial real estate developers and investors had become accustomed to rising values over the past decade or so, especially considering the swift post-pandemic recovery. Yet, the Elliott wave model is sending an important message. Look at this chart.Local Can Be Lucrative in a Bear Market
Updated: October 21, 2022
In a bull market, investment and business opportunities seem to be everywhere, to the point they're almost hard to miss. Bear markets, on the other hand, are more challenging. Even so, the opportunities are there -- if you know where to look.Small Business Outlook? Let's Hear from Owners
Updated: October 19, 2022
The small business outlook is an extreme example of the "air pockets" that are obvious in many financial market and economic indicators recently. See it for yourself.Are You Prepared for Widespread Bank Failures?
Updated: October 11, 2022
The liquidity of a big bank has been called into question as the bank's executives grapple with turmoil from the inside and out. All the while, a major economic contraction appears underway. Here's what you need to know.Global Financial Risk: “Like in August 2007”
Updated: October 6, 2022
Is the world on the cusp of another major financial crisis -- like the one which occurred between 2007 and 2009? A former U.S. Treasury Secretary pipes in -- plus, Elliott Wave International offers its own perspective.THIS is Why the Real Estate Tide is Turning
Updated: October 4, 2022
The second housing bubble in this relatively young century became even more extreme than the one of more than 15 years ago. Now, troubling signs are developing which could knock down the price of your home. Here are some insights.Where One Goes, The Other One Follows
Updated: September 14, 2022
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (DBB) has more then doubled since the start of the pandemic, in-line with its Elliott wave pattern. DBB'S recent decline also traced put a familiar form... see what our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor makes of it.U.S. Real Estate: “So Long, Sellers’ Market”
Updated: September 8, 2022
Boise, ID has been a case study in recent real estate price trends. A red-hot market just a year or so ago, today things are... different. Watch Chart of the Day editor Robert Folsom show you what signs pointed to the downturn in this clip from our September Financial Forecast.Highlights: Our New European Financial Forecast
Updated: September 8, 2022
Watch our monthly European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer give you three highlights from the new, September issue in this video.Just How "Stressed" Are Financial Markets Right Now?
Updated: September 8, 2022
The St. Louis Fed keeps something called the "Financial Stress Index." In this video, our Global Market Perspective contributor Murray Gunn mentions the 6 times when the Index spiked over the past three decades.Will Another “Great Depression” Start in Europe?
Updated: September 7, 2022
Many people know about the "Great Depression" of the early 1930s. However, most of those are likely unaware that this calamity started in Europe before arriving in the U.S. Is history set to repeat? Review these two charts.The Final Act BEFORE a Housing Bubble Bursts
Updated: August 11, 2022
"The aggregate value of housing is far greater than that of the stock market," hence, a big decline in housing prices could have major repercussions for the economy in the U.S. and other parts of the globe. Here are some insights.Central Banks: Big Change Ahead
Updated: August 8, 2022
At a recent press conference, the ECB President Lagarde said, "...we are not offering forward guidance of any kind." That's a huge change in central banks' modus operandi, and it has a lot to do with the strength of the U.S. dollar, says our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn -- watch.Aluminum, Copper, Zinc: The 3 Horsemen of the Upcoming “Econocalypse”
Updated: July 26, 2022
During this time of inflation, relatively few people are worried about deflation. However, the price trend of commodities suggests that deflationary pressures are building. Take a look at this chart of aluminum, copper and zinc.What a Major Indicator of “Housing Busts” is Showing Now
Updated: July 21, 2022
By some measures, the latest housing boom reached extremes that surpassed the housing bubble that occurred more than 15 years ago. Will the bust be just as dramatic -- or more so? Here are some insights.How to Prepare for a Hard-Hitting Bear Market (Think 1929-1932)
Updated: July 6, 2022
Are you prepared for a historically severe bear market? Learn why most investors are not, and how you can be different. Get insights now.Safety: That's the Name of the Game
Updated: June 17, 2022
"We've never lived through a Grand Supercycle bear market before" says Chief Market Analyst Steven Hochberg. Watch as he explains what to expect from "the biggest bear market in our lifetime" -- and how to financially survive it -- in this in-depth, fast-moving 13-minute interview.Economic “Hurricane”: Here’s a Take on a Bank CEO’s Warning
Updated: June 7, 2022
The top executive of the biggest bank in the U.S. is sounding an alarm about the economy. The cited reasons are the war in Ukraine and the Fed. Here's a perspective on both.Why the Timing of the Next Economic Slump May Surprise – Big Time
Updated: May 25, 2022
Most professional observers of the economy were caught off guard at the onset of the two biggest economic setbacks of the past 100 years. Will professionals (and the public) be surprised again? Look at this diagram of the single most important "economic indicator."This is “Anything but Positive for Housing”
Updated: May 16, 2022
A big shift appears to be taking place in the U.S. housing market. There are signs that the recent trend of skyrocketing prices is set to slow down -- even reverse. Learn why.Around the World's Risks & Opportunities with Elliott Waves (in 28 Minutes)
Updated: April 13, 2022
U.S., China, Russia, Bitcoin, bonds, commodities... The global economy is changing fast, so take half-an-hour right now to view the landscape from 30,000 feet and see risks and opportunities ahead with our Head of Global Research. You get more than just a look at Elliott wave patterns -- you'll see how it all fits together in this moment in history. (Recorded on March 24, 2022, for Money Show Virtual Expo.)Why U.S. Housing Prices May Be Set to Decline
Updated: April 7, 2022
Find out about a time-tested indicator for housing prices. It provided a big clue about the housing market in 2005-2006 and is now sending another warning. This chart is revealing.Here’s a More Reliable “Recession Indicator” Versus an Inverted Yield Curve
Updated: April 5, 2022
Pundits have recently expressed recession fears due to an inverted yield curve. Yet, here's a "recession indicator" which is more reliable than yield inversions.European Stocks: True Bottom in, or Just a Bear Market Rally?
Updated: April 1, 2022
A lot of European investors are asking the question in the headline right now. Watch our European Financial Forecast editor give you a preview of the new, April issue as he touches on the recent price action in the stock of the London Stock Exchange and nickel."Worst Drawdown on Record" for Global Bonds: Why the Fed Can't Help
Updated: March 30, 2022
Global bond markets are spiraling. Will the Fed come to the rescue? Head of Global Research Murray Gunn explains not only why they won't, but why they can't. Plus, see an eye-opening 78-year interest rate cycle chart.Interest Rates: How This 1000% Increase Will Overwhelm… Everything?
Updated: March 28, 2022
Interest rates are on the rise and the consequences will be dramatic for those who must service debt, including the government and companies. This chart shows how fast and far bond yields have already risen.How the “Great Resignation” Ties in with a Financial Peak
Updated: March 22, 2022
A lot of young adults quit their jobs during the past year in what has been termed the "Great Resignation." Get insights into how this ties in with the stock market, plus get an update on how many of those who walked away from their jobs feel now.Oil at $130: Look Beyond Supply and Demand
Updated: March 7, 2022
On March 1, President Biden announced the release of 30 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to combat rising energy prices. U.S. allies agreed to release another 30 million barrels. Yet, the price of oil is higher now than it was on the date of that announcement. Let's examine whether supply / demand is the real driver of oil prices.The Stunning Truth About the FDIC and Your Bank Deposits
Updated: February 24, 2022
Will the FDIC protect your deposits in case your bank goes under? If another financial crisis hits, millions of depositors may be more vulnerable than they realize. Here are insights you need to know.“The Most Dangerous Pattern in Finance” Foretells a “Major Contraction”
Updated: January 13, 2022
This chart shows the development of a "dangerous pattern" which is "inherently unsustainable." Get the insights that you need so you can prepare for what is likely ahead.Market Myth: Gold and Inflation
Updated: January 7, 2022
Gold bugs are confused right now: Although the CPI is up big, gold prices are not. See this chart prepared for you by our Head of Global Research that explains why the relationship between inflation and gold is not as black-and-white as many investors believe.Santa’s Deflating Sack
Updated: December 23, 2021
Have you had a Snickers bar lately? Did you notice that it was... lighter? You're not crazy. "Shrinkflation" is real. Here are some thoughts on that from our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn.Investment Roadmap for 2022
Updated: December 23, 2021
Cryptos competing with USD and EUR. NFTs competing with Rembrandt and Da Vinci. Electric car makers with $0 revenue and market cap bigger than GM or Ford. How do you make sense of today’s financial trends? Answer: Use Elliott waves. Our Head of Global Research explains.2026: Why It Might Be an Important Year
Updated: December 16, 2021
Our Head of Global Research explains what the position of an economic gauge called the Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index implies for the next few years.U.S. Economy: "Always one of the last dominoes to fall"
Updated: December 6, 2021
Used car prices have been on fire. We don't think it's just an issue of supply and demand, because an interesting pattern emerges when you plot prices on a chart. See what the car market suggests for the U.S. economy as our Financial Forecast co-editor walks you through a chart from the new, December issue.Emerging Markets vs. Commodities: Moving Together, Again
Updated: December 3, 2021
Commodities and emerging markets usually move together... except of most of 2021. Now, they are moving together again: down. Watch our monthly Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast editor explain the significance -- and give you a hint at what's next.New, December European Financial Forecast: Sneak Preview
Updated: December 3, 2021
Normally, stocks peak first, and consumer sentiment follows -- but in Germany, the two have reversed -- why? Also, what does the anxiety in the forex market say about the wave structure of the broader market? Watch our European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer touch on all of that in this short video.What to Make of Zillow’s “House Flipping” Misadventure
Updated: November 9, 2021
In a sizzling real estate market, house flipping seems like a way to earn easy profits. Well, it turns out that even real estate professionals can get financially hurt. Here are the details -- and, the lesson.Our European Financial Forecast: In the New Issue
Updated: November 5, 2021
What happens if you quote British stocks in producer prices and gold? Why have UK stocks been underperforming on the global scale? Why are some 40% of European IPOs underwater? Watch our Global Market Perspective contributor Brian Whitmer touch on all of that in this short video.This “Ultimate Work Perk” is an Ominous Sign – Here’s Why
Updated: October 28, 2021
Many U.S. employers are desperately seeking workers. At the same time, many people who are already employed want more time off. This "chill out" attitude is an ominous sign of the times. Here's why.Does the Fed Really Know What It’s Doing?
Updated: October 14, 2021
Many investors believe that the Fed holds a great deal of sway over the direction of the economy and even the stock market. Yet, this assumption is being challenged. Indeed, the evidence shows that the Fed is irrelevant to the market's trend. Look at this historic case-in-point.Why Economic Forecasts So Often Miss the Mark
Updated: October 12, 2021
Economic forecasts are notorious for often being wrong -- and sometimes dramatically so. For example, economists who were polled in 2007 all agreed that economic expansion was ahead. Yet, it was the Great Recession which arrived instead. Here's more on "extreme consensus" among economists.Why a Peak in Home Prices May Be Approaching
Updated: October 5, 2021
House hunters want to buy at a favorable price. Yet, a recent headline says, "home prices have risen 100 times faster than usual." Here's an indicator that suggests a big change may be just around the neighborhood corner.S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 600: “Surrendering to the Rally”
Updated: September 15, 2021
"History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes," goes a saying often contributed to Mark Twain. In our 40+ years in the business, we've seen a lot of these "rhymes" -- watch our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor show you what the recent price action in S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 600 reminds him of.This Boom-Bust Cycle in Home Ownership Should Give Home Shoppers Pause
Updated: August 31, 2021
Prices of many consumer items tend to be stable most of the time. But when a consumer item becomes an investment item, watch out! See how this is related to the housing market...Prepare Now for a Brutal Austerity – Here’s Why
Updated: August 26, 2021
Some people call it "belt tightening." Others say "cutting back." Both phrases sound foreign in this age of borrowing and spending. However, a strict austerity may be just around the corner.Here’s What “Preceded the Last Housing Crisis” – and, It’s Happening Again
Updated: August 10, 2021
After a dramatic rise, the price of lumber has plummeted. If you're a homeowner, or anticipate buying or selling a house, here's an insight that you need to know.U.S. Housing Market: Not “a Bubble This Time Around”?
Updated: July 29, 2021
Investors know that financial bubbles have occurred in the past and will likely develop again in the future. But their "bubble" attitudes are almost always different in the present. Learn how this applies to the 2021 U.S. housing market.Global Investing: Here’s the Message of Consumer “Overconfidence”
Updated: July 22, 2021
Many investors believe that global stock markets will benefit from the current economic "boom." That seems to make sense -- however, you may want to review what financial history shows.Emerging Markets: Will Recent Declines Continue?
Updated: July 16, 2021
While stocks in places like India have powered higher lately, other emerging markets have sold off. Watch our Asian-Pacific expert walk you through the wave pattern in iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF EEM for some objective answers rooted in market psychology.Why U.S. Corporate Bankruptcies Could Skyrocket
Updated: July 2, 2021
U.S. corporations have been issuing extensive amounts of debt. Indeed, the level of outstanding corporate bonds is the highest in history. Learn why a wave of corporate bankruptcies may be just ahead.The Housing Market: "Curb Appeal? We Don't Need No Stinking Curb Appeal!"
Updated: June 25, 2021
Sometimes, a personal anecdote helps bring into focus a problem we all intuitively understand. Watch our "resident skeptic" Dave Allman take a stroll through his neighborhood for an unvarnished look at the current real estate trends.Here’s a Simple Way to Know If the Fed Will Raise Rates
Updated: June 17, 2021
There is a simple truth that continues to elude the mainstream economists. Here it is: The Fed follows the bond market. So, there is no need to hang on Jerome Powell's every word. All you need to do is... well, here's our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn, with the full explanation -- and a handy chart.Luxem-bourgeoisie
Updated: June 9, 2021
If you are old enough to remember the booming real estate market back in 2006, you also remember that it was the last year of the U.S. housing bubble. The following year, social mood took a hard dive, the stock market topped and a set of dominoes around the world quickly ushered in a global financial crisis, the biggest one wince the Great Depression. But what if "it's different this time?" Our Head of Global Research shares his thoughts in the new essay.THIS Is How Most Bear Markets Start
Updated: June 8, 2021
Should investors wait for the economic headlines to turn highly negative before selling stocks? Learn why such a strategy would likely be unwise.Why “Trouble is Brewing” for the U.S. Housing Market
Updated: June 3, 2021
There's a telltale-sign that the hot housing market may be headed for a cool down. Learn why -- plus find out why studying the stock market's trend will help you gauge the housing market as wellPowell Goes Forth
Updated: June 3, 2021
The chart you're about to see shows the annual percentage change in "sticky" U.S. consumer prices. "Sticky" -- because these are goods and services that the data scientists in the Federal Reserve's statistics office deem to have infrequent changes in their prices. These prices have been rising, too -- along with prices of just about everything else. And that puts the Fed itself in a very sticky situation, explains our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn.Global Markets: See Our “Macro View from 30,000 Feet”
Updated: May 24, 2021
Stocks, Bitcoin, commodities, bonds... right now, Elliott waves are painting a clear picture for all the key markets you hear about in the news. Watch our Head of Global Strategy walk you through a series of charts to give you a one-of-a-kind &"view from 30,000 feet."True or False: Inflation = Stock Market Sell-off?
Updated: May 18, 2021
Some financial market observers have attributed recent market sell-offs to inflation worries. However, investors who closely follow the news may be scratching their heads as to that "cause and effect" reasoning. Here's why.A Growing Shortage of Common Sense
Updated: May 14, 2021
"As some major economies emerge from the economic lockdowns, there are increasing reports of shortages: computer chips, food commodities, even chlorine. The biggest shortage, though, may be in common sense," explains our Head of Global Research in a new essay. (Commodities in focus.)Why the Demand for Real Estate Licenses May Soon Fall into a Sinkhole
Updated: May 11, 2021
"In January, there were more real-estate agents than homes for sale in the U.S.," according to the Wall Street Journal. Indeed, the climb in the number of real-estate agents traces out as an Elliott wave pattern on a chart. Take a look. Plus -- learn why the action of the stock market is relevant to the housing market.Higher consumer prices are here. Is deflation dead?
Updated: April 13, 2021
It's been the story of the past 20 years at least. With economies like China (and others such as India) fully embracing the global economy, all of a sudden (well, millennially speaking) the planet's global labor capacity surged and that led to a huge downward pressure on labor costs. China became the world's factory and kept its export prices low, leading to the oft-used soundbite that China has been "exporting deflation." Now, though, that might be changing.This Is How the Wealth Gap Closes
Updated: April 7, 2021
Leverage and failure to cut losses -- the two reasons at the core of every financial disaster in history. Take a look at this multi-billion dollar hedge fund that recently blew up because of these reasons.“The Fed’s Real Estate Bubble”
Updated: March 30, 2021
"...in January, there were more real estate agents in the U.S. than houses for sale," says our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn. It's not the first time something similar has happened -- discover a time when a "third of Miami residents were real estate agents," and what we can learn from it.Should Stock Markets Fear Inflation or Deflation?
Updated: March 23, 2021
Inflation worries seem to be on everyone's mind -- maybe yours, too. Yet, you also hear experts say that any inflationary upticks are only temporary. Who's right? "How about... both" opinions, explains our Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn.What the "Sudden, Dramatic" Surge in Googling "Inflation" Tells You
Updated: March 9, 2021
Financial commentators are all abuzz about the prospects for inflation. After all, commodity prices have risen substantially during the past several months, and that trend might continue for a time. However, the next big monetary event will likely be just the opposite from what most observers expect."There’s no tellin’ where the money went..."
Updated: March 4, 2021
If you apply for a loan to buy a car or a house, and the bank manager sees that your existing debt is 3 times your annual income... do you think you're getting that loan? Well, says our Head of Global Research, "Global debt is now 3.5 times our income." Read Murray Gunn's thoughts on what this implies.Europe: Take a Look at Emerging Trends
Updated: February 9, 2021
As we wrap up "one of the strangest months in market history," says our Global Market Strategist in this new video, it's time to look ahead. Watch Brian Whitmer show you several highlights from his latest research report.Historic Global Financial Crisis? “Puzzle Pieces” Will Soon Fit into Place
Updated: February 4, 2021
Many people yawn at the mention of "global debt." However, this is no time to be cavalier about the prospects of another financial crisis. One major North American newspaper describes this nation's debt dilemma as "alarming." Across the Atlantic, a major country is also piling up debt at a stunning rate. Get the details.Global Tipping Point: “Good” Debt Vs. “Bad” Debt (Which is Winning?)
Updated: December 17, 2020
Global debt has skyrocketed in 2020. Credit which is tied to production can add value to an economy. However, much of today's debt is counter-productive. Get the insights that you need to know so you can prepare for what may be a historic debt deflation.Look at These 2 Big Warning Signs for the U.S. Economy
Updated: November 23, 2020
The big economic news during the past several weeks was that the U.S. economy grew 33.1% on an annualized basis in Q3. However, the evidence shows that this figure does not tell the full story. Take a look at these two charts.A Global “Debt Mountain”: Beware of This “New Peak”
Updated: November 10, 2020
Global debt seems to be a subject that's far removed from most people's daily lives. However, the Great Recession revealed otherwise. Now, learn why another global financial crisis may be just around the corner.Why the Market’s “Faith in the Fed” May Be Dwindling Fast
Updated: November 3, 2020
Many investors have believed for quite a long time that the U.S. Federal Reserve has held a lot of power over the economy and even the stock market. Yet, it appears that this “faith in the Fed” is set to rapidly diminish. Learn why.Global Banking: Some Sectors Look as “Precarious as Ever”
Updated: October 13, 2020
Some sectors of the global financial system appear to be on shaky ground. Central bank assistance has fallen short and investors need to prepare for what may be ahead.Beware of This “Crocodile” of Debt Deflation
Updated: October 8, 2020
The specter of a global debt deflation looms large. This chart shows “a highly unusual situation which is probably unsustainable.” Take a look for yourself.Why This Could Be a "Very Bleak Winter for the U.K."
Updated: September 25, 2020
Elliott wave analysis suggests that the next few months could be quite historic for the British stock market, the economy and British pound. Our Head of Global Research (who is based in London) explains.Here’s Evidence That “the Great Property Bust is Underway”
Updated: September 22, 2020
You can apply Elliott wave to more than just stocks or forex. It also helped us warn subscribers of the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2009 well before it became frontpage news. Now, here in 2020, real estate investors need to brace themselves – again. Here’s why.The Connection Between Stocks and the Economy is Not What Most Investors Think
Updated: September 15, 2020
Would you like to know what the health of the economy will be like months ahead of time? This rarely discussed "economic indicator" has a history of serving as a useful guide. See for yourself.When It Comes to News vs. Markets, It's Not "What" -- It's "When"
Updated: August 27, 2020
At market tops, the news is full of positive stories. Near bottoms, it's full of negativity. That's why those who invest strictly on the news often buy at tops and sell at bottoms. Watch our Global Head of Research explain how to "read" the current tone of British news properly.Why Commercial Real Estate is Set to Get Slammed
Updated: July 28, 2020
The real estate market – both commercial and residential – appears to be on shaky ground. Get the insights that you need to know.Why You Should Expect “Price Deflation” Just Ahead
Updated: July 9, 2020
Our July Global Market Perspective notes that there has been a "distinct relationship" between two economic / monetary indicators over the past 20 years. The annual change in one of them has "collapsed." Learn what our global analysts expect for the other indicator "over the next 18 months or so."China's Stock Market Rally: Predictable as Early as April 3, 2020
Updated: July 9, 2020
The Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen component have been rising strongly. As usual, you're hearing lots of after-the-fact "reasons" as to why. But few, if any, mainstream experts were bullish in early April, in the thick of the pandemic. Here’s what helped us identify a bottom in China on April 3, 2020.Markets "Make No Sense"? Try Elliott Waves (Parts I & II)
Updated: July 2, 2020
Mark Galasiewski, chief equity analyst for Asia and emerging markets with Elliott Wave International, explains how the Elliott Wave model can help investors make sense of apparently chaotic patterns in financial markets.Severe Debt Deflation: Why These 5 Nations Are Most at Risk
Updated: June 15, 2020
Deflation requires a precondition. Learn about it, plus get insights into private versus public debt. This chart shows you which nations are at the highest risk of a “severe debt deflation.”Deflation: Why the “Japanification” of the U.S. Looms Large
Updated: May 28, 2020
Japan has been struggling with deflationary pressures for 30 years. Now, signs of deflation are evident in the U.S. Here’s what characterizes a “deflationary crash.”(Not a Typo) "Europe Has Been in a Bear Market for 20 Years"
Updated: May 8, 2020
It's hard to believe, but a key European stock index is still trading below its high from 20 years ago. That speaks volumes about Europe's social mood -- and the future of the European Union. Watch our Head of Global Research explain."This Is More Than a Deflationary <em>Moment</em>"
Updated: May 8, 2020
"Deflation" is not the word you've heard very often -- until now. Falling prices across multiple asset classes suddenly got every everyone's attention. But deflation is much more than just "lower prices." Watch our Global Markets Strategist explain.Why Financial Trouble Brews on the “Home” Front
Updated: May 5, 2020
The world has certainly been aware of all the “stay-at-home” orders in various places. At the same time, the value of many of those homes may be at risk. You see, a significant divergence has developed in the housing market. Get insights as you take a look at this chart.Is "Printing Money" the Only Way Out of This Crisis? No.
Updated: May 3, 2020
Today, a huge government and central bank fiscal stimulus is what almost everyone sees as the way out. But watch our Head of Global Research show an example from the Great Depression era that tells a different story.How to Spot Future Stock Market Leaders
Updated: May 1, 2020
Stocks that lead higher off a bear-market low often continue to outperform their peers going forward. Watch our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor show you examples using TEAM, BABA and more.View the Global Economy from 30,000 Feet
Updated: April 17, 2020
If you zoomed out and took a snapshot of the markets and global economy, you'd see a pandemic, tumultuous equities, a rout in oil, record-busting bailouts, buybacks under fire, and the Fed flexing its muscles as the specter of deflation looms. But what does it all mean, and why is it happening now? Listen as EWI's Head of Global Research, Murray Gunn, breaks it all down in this conversation on the Classic Business podcast.This Indicator Flashed "Danger" for Chinese Stocks Well BEFORE Pandemic
Updated: April 16, 2020
While the news is mulling over "what the Chinese knew and when they knew it," from a technical analysis perspective it's mostly irrelevant for market timing. Watch our Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor show you one indicator that flashed red well in advance.Deflationary Psychology Versus the Fed: Here’s the Likely Winner
Updated: April 16, 2020
Deflation is rare. Indeed, there’s only been two such episodes in all of U.S. history. Are we on the doorsteps of yet another devastating deflationary period? Take a look at this eye-brow raising chart.British Stocks: See Why the "Drama Is Not Over"
Updated: April 9, 2020
On January 29, our European Short Term Update told subscribers that "a dramatic decline" in the FTSE was directly ahead. Watch the Update's editor and our Global Head of Research show why he made that forecast -- and explain why the worst is likely not over for the UK stock market.Want Proof Markets Are NON-Rational? See This.
Updated: April 3, 2020
How can 1400 individual stocks, governed by a myriad of individual factors, fit into the same technical market pattern? There is only one logical answer. Watch our Asian-Pacific expert explain -- and show you how the COVID-19 pandemic fits into the same pattern.First Waves of a New Bear Market
Updated: March 18, 2020
The decline in asset markets that Elliott Wave International has been forecasting has begun in a most dramatic fashion with stock markets around the globe plummeting over a very short time scale. Some might call it a crash, others a panic. We call it the first waves of a new bear market.Look What’s “Leading the Economy Lower”
Updated: March 12, 2020
Despite what you often hear from mainstream sources, it’s the stock market that leads the economy, not the other way around. But there are more ways to forecast what’s next for the economy. Take a look at this index, for example, which has been sending a warning signal since 2018, alongside the “softening” U.S. GDP numbers.Why the Next Debt Crisis Will (Also) Be Historically Dire
Updated: March 3, 2020
EWI’s Head of Global Research explains why you should begin taking steps to brace yourself for a potential financial “storm of biblical proportions.”India’s Nifty 50: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks?
Updated: February 19, 2020
Many investors believe that economic news has an effect on the stock market. But a review of financial history shows that this just isn’t so. Consider India’s “jobs crisis” and the behavior of India’s key stock market index, the Nifty 50.Australia's Housing Market Soars, the Fundamentals in Ashes
Updated: February 4, 2020
The traditional model of market analysis says, "bad news begets declines." See why that did not work for real estate in Australia -- and why the Elliott wave model did, for four years running.Is an Accommodative Fed Bullish for the Stock Market?
Updated: January 24, 2020
The conventional wisdom says that the Federal Reserve has a great deal of influence over the economy and the stock market. However, EWI’s research shows that this is a flat-out myth. See for yourself.2 Charts That "Might Just Take Your Breath Away"
Updated: January 23, 2020
When you've done something for years, you start to notice patterns. We've been forecasting the markets since the 1970s, and we've picked up on some patterns, too. Watch our Global Market Perspective contributor, Murray Gunn, show you a couple of "breathtaking" charts.European Markets: "Exactly what we would expect…"
Updated: December 13, 2019
The year is wrapping up, so let's take a fly-over view of Europe. Watch as our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor shows you some eye-opening statistics -- and puts it in the all-important Elliott wave perspective.What Does Government "Stimulus" Tell You? The Past and Present in Japan Has the Answer
Updated: December 10, 2019
Governments use "fiscal stimulus" to kick start a weak economy … right? That's what textbooks say, but, real-world experience is otherwise. In truth, government "stimulus" is a lagging response to a bear market that has already turned around. See EWI's Mark Galasiewski explain the past and present in Japan as a case-in-point, with the opportunity it suggests."Credit Impulse": We're Watching It, And So Should You
Updated: November 15, 2019
Credit is the lifeblood of modern economy. Watch as our monthly Global Market Perspective contributor takes a close look at today's "credit impulse" readings and explains the implications."Cracks in the Credit Structure" Grow Wider
Updated: November 5, 2019
"Cracks in the credit structure" were widening months before the onset of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Now, in 2019, similar warnings have started to appear. This chart is revealing...U.S. Dollar: "Reserve Currency" Status in Danger?
Updated: October 30, 2019
More and more you hear around the world that there are attempts to challenge the US dollar's "reserve currency" status. Our Head of Global Research gives you his take on a recent policy move by Russia -- and on the buck's long-term prospects.Raising a Red Flag for U.S. Real Estate
Updated: October 24, 2019
Is financial history set to repeat in the U.S. housing market? Well, be on your guard because the "extreme psychology" that was on display nearly 15 years ago is back -- and even bigger than before! Here are the details...Fifty Years That Show "When to Be A Contrarian" (thru today)
Updated: October 22, 2019
Here's an indicator you won't see elsewhere: We show 50 years of extremes it registered -- both optimistic and pessimistic -- that proved to be great contrary indicators, right thru today.A Troubling Sign for U.S. Real Estate Market
Updated: September 24, 2019
U.S. housing prices rebounded significantly following the depths of the housing bust. However, worrisome signs are beginning to appear. Take a look at this chart from our current Financial Forecast.How Badly Will the Hong Kong Protests Shake Global Stock Markets?
Updated: August 22, 2019
Unrest continues in Hong Kong. China’s paramilitary forces are massing near the border. What if there’s more violence? Or an authoritarian invasion? Or a peaceful resolution? Investors all over the world want to know how much impact the Hong Kong chaos will have on global equities. Discover the surprising answer and learn how to protest-proof your portfolio (hint, you may have already done it) in this video.A Stalling Auto Industry Doesn't Mean the U.S. ECONOMY'S Check Engine Light is On -- Right?
Updated: July 23, 2019
Did you know that the rate of job growth is at its most negative in decades? You will, once you see this chart for yourself.Want to See What’s Next for the Economy? Try This.
Updated: July 16, 2019
Would you like to know what the health of the economy will be like months ahead of time? This rarely discussed "economic indicator" has a history of serving as a useful guide. See for yourself...Flipping Out Over Real Estate… Again
Updated: June 27, 2019
Speculators looking for a "fast buck" turned to day trading in the late 1990s. After the ensuing bear market, house flipping became a fad. But the big housing bust only put the kibosh on this pursuit temporarily. Will a big lesson have to be learned all over again?“Last time it was banks; this time it is governments.”
Updated: June 19, 2019
There is only ONE thing that matters in global financial markets. And the global governments have less and less of "it." Discover more in this free excerpt from our June 17 European Short Term Update.Local Can Be Lucrative in a Bear Market
Updated: June 3, 2019
In a bull market, investment and business opportunities seem to be everywhere, to the point they're almost hard to miss. Bear markets, on the other hand, are more challenging. Even so, the opportunities are there -- if you know where to look.The Unreported Yet Biggest Danger of Trade Tariffs
Updated: May 17, 2019
Dana Weeks talks to EWI Analyst Murray Gunn about how "Trade Tariff News" misses the true, long-term dangers to markets, economies, and people.Real Estate: Will Prices Stay Unaffordable?
Updated: May 15, 2019
"U.S. Median Single-Family Median Annual Sales Price" may be a mouthful, but the chart you'll see in this 2-minute video is anything but confusing. Watch where prices have gone from the 1980s through today -- and see a clear conclusion as to what's next.U.S. Housing: Look at This 50% Retracement
Updated: May 14, 2019
Buying a house is a major financial decision. We've all been admonished about "location, location, location" -- but, how about timing? Some real estate market indicators can be highly useful. Look at these two charts...War! Good or Bad for Stocks?
Updated: May 9, 2019
Does the DJIA rise more often during times of war or peace? You might be surprised when you review these six charts.Who – Or “What” – Drives Interest Rates?
Updated: May 8, 2019
EWI's Murray Gunn explains the role of the Federal Reserve in "driving" interest rates and the economy -- you me be surprised to find out who (or what) is doing the real driving.Brexit Sage: Deflation and the "Generational Weakening" of the U.K. Economy
Updated: April 30, 2019
In this interview, EWI's Murray Gunn shows Dana Weeks the evidence of a U.K. property decline -- and explains the big-picture meaning for mood and the larger economy.Global Manufacturing: About to Enter "A World of Hurt"?
Updated: April 16, 2019
See the broader economic context that day-to-day headlines don't deliver: Chart of the Day shows you the big-picture trend in the all-important trend in global manufacturing.How Homebuilding Stocks Signal Big-Time Trouble
Updated: April 4, 2019
Houses have been subject to price fluctuations like the stock market for one reason: They're considered an investment as much as a place to hang your hat. Learn what our analysts are saying about an "unmistakable" trend in the real estate market...The Fed Follows the Market Yet Again
Updated: March 28, 2019
This article from Financial Forecast co-editors Steven Hochberg and Pete Kendall explains why the Fed DOES NOT drive interest rates. See the crystal-clear facts and evidence that uncovers the truth behind this common misconception.Falling Trade Deficit is Good for Stocks: True or False?
Updated: March 28, 2019
There are many widely held beliefs about the stock market that are simply untrue. Even professional market observers often neglect to investigate these "myths" for themselves -- and their clients. Consider the claim that a falling trade deficit is good for stocks, and vice versa. Here's what EWI's research has uncovered...Why Have Sedans "Slumped" and SUVs "Surged"? There is Indeed a Trend Behind the Trend
Updated: March 18, 2019
Major stock market trends don't happen in a vacuum -- the "trend behind the trend" is literally visible throughout the culture and economy. In this interview with Dana Weeks, Matt Lampert explains the trend in automobile styles.What Were YOU Reading When the Euro Peaked in 2018 – then Plunged For a Year?
Updated: March 14, 2019
In February 2018, euro-bullishness was everywhere: Traders, the media, Wall Street. Now watch Jim Martens show his charts & forecast that went against the herd.Trouble on the “Home” Front – What’s Next for Real Estate?
Updated: March 6, 2019
In this interview, EWI's Pro Services analyst Murray Gunn speaks with Dana Weeks about what’s really behind the turn in housing, and what may be next.Here's the Consensus About a 2019 Recession
Updated: March 5, 2019
A survey of chief financial officers reveals a near unanimous opinion about the prospects for a recession this year. This consensus has piqued our interest. Here's why...What’s Driving the Housing Downturn? Interest Rates or Investor Psychology
Updated: February 21, 2019
Housing data in 2018 looked ... unhealthy. The "villain" seems obvious -- namely, central bank rate hikes. But now see the charts and evidence that show a different (and far more credible) explanation.Busted Myth: “Fed Controls Economy” and “Manipulates Markets”
Updated: February 12, 2019
There's a widespread belief that the Fed holds the levers which guide the economy and maneuvers markets. But the evidence shows that this is simply not the case. These two charts speak for themselves...Housing Crisis 2.0: Just Around the Block?
Updated: January 29, 2019
Everyone remembers that housing prices were crushed during and even after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Are we headed toward a repeat? Here's what we've been telling subscribers...Is Bitcoin the largest financial bubble of our lifetimes
Updated: January 2, 2019
Elliott Prechter and Pete Kendall answer the "largest bubble?" question -- plus many others -- in this EVT video.The Inverted Yield Curve: What It Is and Why It Matters
Updated: December 20, 2018
Treasury yields may soon turn "not normal," otherwise known as the inverted yield curve. This clear and compelling interview with EWI's Jordan Kotick shows you why it really does matter.Europe Embarks on Deflation
Updated: December 19, 2018
The European Central Bank is the latest to pursue a deflationary policy.Sears: From Hero to Zero
Updated: December 13, 2018
EWI's Pete Kendall describes the rise and fall of the company that defined consumer shopping in 20th century America: Sears & Roebuck. See 100-year chart for yourself.The Big Rise in Boeing – How Did He Do That?
Updated: December 6, 2018
EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy tells Dana Weeks about the pattern in Boeing that helped him forecast the huge gains in August and September. See the chart for yourself.A Decade of Asia: Market Forecasts Then and Now
Updated: November 28, 2018
EWI's Mark Galasiewski talks to Dana Weeks about his recent keynote address to the International Federation of Technical AnalystsAnticipating the Brexit Crisis -- and the Next Recession?
Updated: November 19, 2018
EWI's Murray Gunn talks tells Dana Weeks about the pattern that helped him forecast the huge fall in the pound sterling. Plus, see the chart that warns of a coming recession.Deflation: "Make No Mistake … It's a Global Story"
Updated: October 23, 2018
The New York Times says "Wall Street loves these risky loans." What is the NYT talking about? Think collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) with a twist. Here's what Elliott Wave International anticipates nextHistory Shows a Correlation Between Real Estate and Stock Prices
Updated: October 16, 2018
Did you know that history shows a relationship between real estate and stock market prices? Find out which one leads, and which one follows.Student Loan Bubble is Starting to Hiss
Updated: September 21, 2018
A slew of recent news articles have marked the 10th anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, asking if another financial crisis is likely. Here's our answer.Here’s Why “Strong Jobs” Don't Mean “Higher Stocks”
Updated: September 11, 2018
The U.S. economy added 201,000 jobs in August, more than expected. Wages also jumped. Is this bullish for stocks? For answers, let's look at 3 examples from the stock market's recent history.The "Death Spiral" of Deflation in These 4 Nations
Updated: September 7, 2018
"Currency crises" are unfolding in four nations, with at least three more waiting in the wings. If history is any guide, this serves as warning to the world at large. Learn why...Junk Bonds: No One Expects Volatility… Here’s Why YOU Should
Updated: August 14, 2018
Ironically, financial markets are most risky when they appear to be the least so. With that in mind, let's sift through some "junk," with the aid of this chart.Deflationary Mindset Hits Real Estate – Again
Updated: August 10, 2018
Signs of weakness are showing up in the U.S. housing market. A big-city newspaper just said, ". . . home sellers lower list prices as market cools way down." But how about the big-picture trend for real estate? Take a look at these two revealing charts...Dreaming of a “Comfortable Retirement” on a Public Pension?
Updated: August 7, 2018
Many employees of state and local governments in the U.S. are expecting a financially "comfortable" retirement. But, a big shock likely awaits. Here's a sobering perspective.Why You Should Prepare for a $247 Trillion "Debt Bomb" Implosion
Updated: July 25, 2018
The amount of global debt has reached a precarious level. In the U.S. alone, federal debt has more than doubled in just the past 10 years. But there's much more to this dangerously unfolding debt drama.How to Use the Socionomic Perspective in Real Time
Updated: July 13, 2018
The Socionomics Institute's President Matt Lampert and Senior Analyst Alan Hall share stories on how they have used socionomic theory in real time to benefit their lives.Here’s What "Degradation of Credit Standards" Suggests for U.S. Economy
Updated: July 10, 2018
The old saying about "a thief in the night" applies to deflation. It arrives when almost no one expects it. Learn why the onset of deflation might be a lot closer than most observers realize.Why the Escalating “Trade War” Was Predictable
Updated: June 28, 2018
The ramped-up trade conflict "fits the Elliott wave model perfectly." Learn why.Starbucks vs. the Stock Market: A Fascinating Connection
Updated: June 22, 2018
There's no substitute for technical indicators when analyzing the stock market. At the same time, observing social trends can also be useful, given that many of these trends correlate with the market. Here's a case in point ...What Does Mega-Merger Mania Say About the Stock Market?
Updated: June 20, 2018
First AT&T-Time Warner. Now Disney and Comcast's battle over Fox. History says these mega-mergers send a signal about the stock market's trend. Discover what it is in this clip from an interview with EWI's Murray Gunn on WSVA radio.Our Readers Saw This Cool Correlation Two Decades Before Anyone Else
Updated: June 7, 2018
The Wave Principle not only helps you see around the corner, it can also alert you to connections that most people wouldn't even think to look for. Sometimes it does both.Deflation: Elliott Wave International Versus the Consensus
Updated: June 6, 2018
A poll of 60 economists reveals that they all agree that a recession will not happen any time soon. Also, the Fed has stopped worrying about a Japan-like deflation. Does that mean we should all rest easy? Well, not so fast...Deflation Basics, What You Need to Know
Updated: May 18, 2018
Deflation is widely discussed but not widely understood. To take you through the basics of what deflation is and is not, ElliottWaveTV sat down with Murray Gunn, lead writer of deflation.com, as he explains the key concepts about deflation and what you need to watch out for.What to Make of the 3.9% Jobless Rate (You Might Be Shocked)
Updated: May 9, 2018
Most observers interpret the April jobless rate of 3.9% as sign that more smooth sailing is ahead for the economy. But the historical record shows what has actually followed milestone lows in the jobless rate. You may be in for a big surprise as you look at this chart.Here's Why Millennials Are Having Fewer Children
Updated: May 9, 2018
Economists and sociologists can talk until they're blue in the face about why millennials are putting off marriage and having fewer kids. But as Matt Lampert reveals in this conversation from WGN's Opening Bell, we've seen the "fewer children" phenomenon before -- and it sends an important message about the social mood trend and the economy's prospects for long-term health.How the Danger of Debt Looms Large
Updated: May 8, 2018
High-debt levels combined with rising rates means increasing financial pain for borrowers. The eventual result is an all-out credit collapse.See a chart that suggests a debt implosion may be closer than many observers realize.This "Poison" in the Financial System Means Deflation Ahead
Updated: May 7, 2018
Many observers anticipate higher inflation. Yet, the evidence suggests something else entirely. Learn why the financial system in 2018 may be in an even more precarious state than it was before the 2007-2009 financial crisis.Inflation or Deflation: What’s the Long-Term Trend?
Updated: April 24, 2018
After a brief brush with deflation in 2008, the market conversation is increasingly inflationary. ElliottWaveTV asked co-editor of our monthly Elliott Wave Financial Forecast for his take on where things are headed -- with one market in focus in particular: real estate.Can the Trade Genie Go Back in the Bottle?
Updated: April 20, 2018
Trade tensions have subsided ... for now. Should we breathe a sigh of relief, or are more tough times ahead for trade? Hear EWI's Murray Gunn size up the risks to come, in this clip from a conversation on KFKA radio.If Stocks Crash, What Will Happen to Real Estate Prices?
Updated: April 9, 2018
Housing prices staged a significant rebound since the depths of the subprime mortgage "meltdown." Want to know when even luxury housing will become a "bargain"? Keep an eye on this financial market.Stocks and Sex: You Can Use Conceptions as a Sentiment Indicator
Updated: March 23, 2018
If the stock market tanks and the economy contracts, do people begin putting off having children? You'd think so, but the data tell a different story. Here's what does happen, and why you should pay attention to the conceptions indicator today.A Nation of Investors
Updated: March 6, 2018
See the "how" and "when" of the relationship of the stock market to the United States -- specifically, why it has become A Nation of Investors.Should You "Fret" Over the New Fed Chair's Possible Actions?
Updated: February 28, 2018
The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But the evidence shows that the U.S. central bank does not lead on rates. These two charts are revealing.Find Out Who Leads the Way on Interest Rates (…It's NOT the Fed)
Updated: January 29, 2018
The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.Colossal Debt Implosion? 233-Trillion Reasons Why You Should Prepare
Updated: January 26, 2018
Global debt seems to be a subject that's far removed from most people's daily lives. But, the Great Recession revealed otherwise. Now, learn why another financial crisis may be just around the corner.Market Myth #5: GDP Drives Stock Prices
Updated: January 25, 2018
Think a booming economy is bullish for the stock market? Discover how you can bust this market myth in 60 seconds, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance."Trade Deficit's Widely Presumed Effect is 100% Wrong"
Updated: January 9, 2018
It would seem logical that an expanding trade deficit would be a negative for the economy and stock market. But EWI's decades of research reveals a startling truth. See a chart that exposes one of the biggest market myths of all time.Ready for the New Year Hangover?
Updated: December 29, 2017
2017 is ending at a high point for U.S. economic data. Most people would think that the economic data caused the stock market to rally. But here's the reality...Your Home "Investment": A New Study Might Surprise You
Updated: December 4, 2017
Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."Market Myth #4: Interest Rates Drive Stock Prices
Updated: November 21, 2017
Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.Why "Estimate-Crushing" U.S. GDP Number is NOT a Bullish Sign
Updated: October 31, 2017
Remember the so-called "Goldilocks" economy around the turn of the last century? How about in 2007? Well, positive economic numbers didn't stop the stock market from topping in both years. Today, optimism about the economy has reached another extreme. See these two charts.What the Next Fed Chair Will Probably Regret Most
Updated: October 24, 2017
President Trump is expected to soon announce his choice for the next Fed chair. Whoever is selected may turn out to be one of the unluckiest people in the world of finance. Find out why.Why the Setup is Ripe for Another Debt Implosion
Updated: October 18, 2017
Spending is fun! Easy credit is a blast! But debt is a downer. And, right now, numerous measures of debt are near all-time highs. Here's what EWI analysts are closely watching.Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money
Updated: October 16, 2017
In order to be aware of the investment pitfalls and opportunities that deflation can bring, we must first understand the basic elements of why it occurs...What Happens When the Fed FINALLY Reduces Its $4.5 Trillion Balance Sheet?
Updated: October 4, 2017
The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT)...Is This Eastern U.S. City Headed Toward Default?
Updated: September 29, 2017
Many U.S. municipalities face a large and looming financial crisis. With the stock market's string of record highs getting most of the headlines, this next likely crisis will seem to arrive out of nowhere. Remember how the 2007-2009 financial crisis caught most everyone flat-footed? Find out what EWI analysts expect.What This Time-Tested Indicator Says About the Bull Market
Updated: September 25, 2017
You've probably seen the picture of the self-satisfied, rich man burning dollar bills to light a cigar. But, gold eating? The signs of excess are sending one clear message. Pay attention to this time-tested stock market indicator.Believe Your Own Eyes: Central Banks FOLLOW the Market
Updated: September 14, 2017
The longstanding myth is, the interest rate market follows the lead of the central bank. Now see the facts for yourself.Trouble Knocks on the U.S. Housing Market's Door
Updated: September 7, 2017
Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.Jackson (W)Hole Lotta Hype
Updated: August 24, 2017
This week, the great and the good from central banks around the world gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for the annual Kansas City Fed Economic Policy Symposium, and the world's financial media will hang on every word in the hope that something meaningful will be said...This Is Why So Many Are AGAIN Ill-Prepared for the Next Economic Crisis
Updated: August 18, 2017
Is the proverbial "rainy day" upon us? If so, two developments indicate that many people are financially unprepared. Also, find out why our September Elliott Wave Theorist just published an entire month early.This "Most Important Economic Indicator" Might Surprise You
Updated: August 16, 2017
Would you like to know what the health of the economy will be like months ahead of time? This rarely discussed "economic indicator" has a history of serving as a useful guide. See for yourself.Another Warning Sign Atop Debt Mountain
Updated: August 9, 2017
The trip up the side of Debt Mountain is getting more treacherous. A new milestone has been reached. Learn the lesson that financial history teaches.U.S. Housing: A Tell-Tale Warning Sign We've Seen Before
Updated: July 19, 2017
A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.The Fed and Gold Prices: Don't Miss the "Invisible Gorilla"
Updated: July 17, 2017
Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.Fed Concerned About Debt Deflation
Updated: July 13, 2017
We anticipate that many more borrowers will welch on their obligations as debt starts to deflate.This is Why the Mortgage Market Suddenly Looks Riskier
Updated: July 10, 2017
Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.China's Money and Credit
Updated: July 7, 2017
In 1939, Sir Winston Churchill said that Russia was "... a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." The same could be said of China today.This is Why Municipal Bonds Are No "Day at the Beach"
Updated: July 5, 2017
Even during a national economic expansion, many U.S. municipalities are financially troubled. "Two out of every three states took in less tax revenue than expected this year." This chart of muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future.A "Mortgage Meltdown" Culprit Makes a Return
Updated: June 23, 2017
The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?Debt Crisis 2.0: How the Pieces are Falling into Place
Updated: June 21, 2017
As the amount of household debt rises, so does the risk of another financial crisis. A new milestone has been reached in the U.S. But a chart shows that the dangers of debt are global.How Applying "Cause and Effect" Ideas to the Stock Market Can Cost You
Updated: June 19, 2017
Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.What impact does terrorism have on the stock market?
Updated: June 13, 2017
Matt Lampert, director of research at the Socionomics Institute, sheds some light on the relationship between terror attacks and the markets and tells you what to watch out for in the future, all in this 3-minute interview.Fed Week: One and Done?
Updated: June 13, 2017
Whenever the Fed makes its scheduled interest rates announcement, it's almost always an exciting moment in the markets. But, for an objective guidance on future Fed actions, keep calm ... and follow market rates.U.S. Housing: "Not Since the Mania Days"
Updated: June 5, 2017
The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?Taking the Temperature of Global Warming Fever
Updated: June 2, 2017
Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."A Solid-Gold Sign of Historic Financial Optimism
Updated: May 31, 2017
The demand for luxury tends to increase as a financial mania matures. One of the latest extravagant items weighs 33 pounds and is made of solid gold. Financial trend changes usually occur when they're least expected. Are you prepared?A Record "Bye-Bye" to Brick and Mortar?
Updated: May 19, 2017
News about today's economy only talks about "growth." The true story this chart tells isn't reported nearly as often.Debt, Politics, and Russia: A "Spike" Dead Ahead?
Updated: May 17, 2017
Charts like this one show that markets can anticipate huge shifts in broad psychology: Another dangerous spike may be just around the bend.Preview: The Coming Real Estate Trend and Turn?
Updated: May 4, 2017
Toronto is the 4th largest city in North America and anchors a greater metropolitan region of nine million -- more than a quarter of Canada's entire population. A city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States...Puerto Rico: "You can't get more deflationary than that."
Updated: May 4, 2017
Cash-strapped Puerto Rico is unable to meet its debt obligations as a key deadline passes. Investors in the Commonwealth's General Obligation Bonds have taken a big haircut. Other municipalities are next in line.An Update on the Escalating "War on Cash"
Updated: April 28, 2017
Cash is the one asset that is almost sure to rise in value during a deflationary period. Yet, the "war on cash" has been escalating. Here's why you should start storing away plenty of cash.Earn a Wage or a Salary? This Chart's For You
Updated: April 28, 2017
This humble chart shows REAL average weekly wages -- and why a bigger paycheck does NOT necessarily mean more purchasing power. See why purchasing power has been flat for a decade."Extend and Pretend" and Other Signs of the Coming "Car Crash"
Updated: April 24, 2017
Delinquencies have been increasing for subprime car loans. Yet, car dealers are unfazed and have been allowing buyers to "trade in underwater vehicles two or three times." The credit boom is reaching an extreme.Europe: The Glass is Not Half Full
Updated: April 17, 2017
Despite positive economic data coming out of Europe, Brian Whitmer explains that the recovery is mediocre at best.What to Expect for Interest Rates During Deflation
Updated: April 7, 2017
The best time to prepare for a major financial change is before it happens. With that in mind, Elliott Wave International has been preparing subscribers for what we see around the corner by reviewing what has happened in the past regarding interest rates.Why You Should Check the Safety of Your Insurance Company
Updated: March 24, 2017
You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.Gold: It's Not Just About Supply and Demand
Updated: March 8, 2017
You may think that investing in gold differs from investing in stocks -- after all, gold is a commodity. Yet, the same investor psychology that moves stocks also moves gold.How the Psychology of Deflation is Manifesting Itself Today
Updated: March 7, 2017
Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash states: "The psychological aspect of deflation ... cannot be overstated." The manifestations of this psychology are already appearing. Learn where -- and how.U.S. Household Debt: A New, Alarming Milestone
Updated: February 23, 2017
U.S. debt is on the rise and could reach a milestone level sometime in 2017. Student debt has risen for 18 consecutive years, and subprime loans are a growing worry in another sector. See these charts to understand the threat.What Could Follow the End of the 70-Year Rate Cycle?
Updated: February 22, 2017
Here's a chart you won't see elsewhere: Bob Prechter's analysis and observations, depicted visually in the 70-year interest rate cycle. If the symmetry holds, it suggests that the time to come could include years of crisis, Deflation, Depression and possible World War.Here's What Precedes Every Recession by 10 Months
Updated: February 14, 2017
Many recent survey respondents see clear skies ahead for the U.S. economy. But there's an important historic insight that investors need to know about today's economic optimism.A Radical Re-Thinking of the U.S. Trade Deficit
Updated: February 7, 2017
News flash: The 2016 U.S. trade deficit was the largest since 2012, fueling President Trump’s fire to narrow the nation’s gap and bolster the economy. But this research shows historical evidence that suggests this approach could seriously backfire.The Decline of the U.S. Shopping Mall
Updated: February 1, 2017
U.S. shopping malls have seen better days. Now, foot traffic is dwindling. Major retailers are closing stores. One iconic retailer has just seen its share price touch fresh lows.Analyst Spotlight: Pete Kendall
Updated: January 25, 2017
Pete Kendall, the co-editor of our flagship Financial Forecast, tells you how "it all began" for him at the New York Stock Exchange.Deflation: A Sky-High View
Updated: January 20, 2017
Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.Why You Should Be Cautious About Credit Ratings
Updated: January 17, 2017
If you count on standard credit rating agencies for timely warnings, you might find yourself "behind the 8-ball." Time and again, downgrades have occurred after the damage has already been done. Now is the time to protect your portfolio.Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 2)
Updated: December 27, 2016
In part 2 of our in-depth interview with Steve Hochberg, Steve explains what else makes Elliott wave analysis so useful and practical.Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 1)
Updated: December 23, 2016
Steve Hochberg, our Chief Market Analyst, sits down with ElliottWaveTV to talk about his background, how he discovered the Wave Principle, and why "it's applicable to all markets."GDP Does Not Drive the Stock Market Trend
Updated: July 29, 2016
"The economy leads, and the stock market follows." This common assumption is easy to check -- all you have to do is look at the data.How Brexit Shocked the World -- and What it Means to You
Updated: June 24, 2016
On Friday, June 24, the world awoke to an apparent new wind blowing out of Europe: The citizens of Great Britain voted to leave the European Union.Pot Sales Are Smoking!
Updated: February 1, 2016
How could anyone have foreseen 10-15 years ago that marijuana would become the fuel for a legitimate and legal cannabis capitalism movement in the United States? Answer: SocionomicsThe Economy Follows the Stock Market
Updated: October 29, 2015
The evidence is clear. The stock market leads the economy contrary to popular belief. Episode 2 of the Elliott Wave Pillars series walks you through the overwhelming evidence that proves this point without a doubt.An Elegant Theory
Updated: October 29, 2015
The Elliott Wave Pillars Series walks you through why we view the markets and social action the way we do. You'll see compelling evidence that will help change how you view the markets.FAQ: The Dow priced in gold: Why is this important?
Updated: March 29, 2015
Our Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg addressed why it the Dow priced in gold is important in this 3-minute clip.FAQ: Is deflation still a threat? Can't the Fed stop deflation just by expanding credit?
Updated: March 28, 2015
Answer: Deflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit. ...FAQ: Can the FDIC protect my money?
Updated: March 28, 2015
Answer: The U.S. government's Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation guarantee just makes things far worse, for two reasons. ...Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Conclusion)
Updated: November 26, 2014
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market. Here's the conclusion of our 10-part series."Don't Fight the Fed?" Don't Make Me Laugh!
Updated: November 11, 2014
The Fed runs the market. Right? Well, "see if you can tell on this chart where authorities intervened."Does Inflation Really Make Gold and Silver Go Up?
Updated: October 28, 2014
This idea of gold as inflation hedge is practically gospel. This chart shows a major flaw in this theory.Would a Terrorist Attack Crash the Stock Market?
Updated: October 22, 2014
As bad news goes, terrorism is at the top of the list. Why then do stocks ignore these terrible events so often?Peace Is Always Bullish for Stocks: Yes or No?
Updated: October 16, 2014
"Peace lets companies innovate and compete, helping the economy." True -- and yet, stocks will go where they go.Are Wars Bullish or Bearish for Stocks?
Updated: October 6, 2014
"Some economists say wars stimulate the economy; others say war hurts it." These 4 charts negate both cases.Learn Why GDP Is a Poor Predictor of Stock Trends
Updated: September 12, 2014
"GDP reflects corporate success. So do stock prices. So how could GDP not impact stocks?" -- Solid logic, and yet...Learn Why Rising Trade Deficit Is NOT a Bearish Factor for Stocks
Updated: September 10, 2014
"U.S. trade deficit seems to be a reasonable thing to worry about." This chart shows you why it's really not."Rising Oil Prices Are Bearish for Stocks": True or False?
Updated: September 9, 2014
"Rising oil prices reduce corporate and consumer spending, impacting stocks and the economy." Right? Wrong.Market Complacency, Gold's "Non-Rally" & More
Updated:
Nothing in the stock market is ever permanent -- even the recent complacency... For the third time this year, gold prices are trying to break out. Will the latest rally attempt succeed?... In bear markets, it's about the "return OF your money" instead of the "return ON your money."
If Money Is On Sale, Why Is Almost No One Buying?
Updated:
Bond yields have fallen to 50-year lows in the world's major economies, and this trend has reached nearly ALL countries. Yet if you can even find a news article about this story, it will probably include phrases like "unanticipated," "surprise," and "against the consensus forecast." What that means is, the experts did NOT see any of this coming...
New Insights on Precious Metals & U.S. Housing
Updated:
Learn why the recent price action in gold suggests to him that gold prices may be entering a risky period soon. Plus, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone and we're sounding the alarm. Lastly, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Global Sentiment and the US Election
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Our first segment gives you a sneak peek of what analysts at Elliott Wave International have been watching in U.S. and global stocks, forex, metals, interest rates, energy and social mood. Next we take a look at legalization of recreational marijuana and answer the important question, why now? Lastly, we take a deeper look at Obamacare and reveal the real reason it's coming unglued.
Sentiment Extremes, Muni Bonds & Trump Impeachment
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Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.
French Election: Socialism, Bull & Bear Markets -- and Social Mood
Updated:
A look at sentiment and social mood across Europe as French voters head to the polls on Sunday to elect France's new president. Plus, learn why looking at the U.S. dollar, interest rates and politics are the wrong tools when trying to forecast the price action in gold. And this Canadian city this size is an ideal candidate to preview real estate trends in Canada and in the United States.
"Trump Bump," Corporate Earnings & Stock Buybacks
Updated:
Our latest episode discusses the "Trump bump," which our analysts say was in the cards long before Trump. Plus, shouldn't corporate insiders avoid mistakes "Mom and Pop" investors make? Lastly, it might surprise you that earnings and prices sometimes go in opposite directions.
Immigration, "Trump Bounce" & More
Updated:
Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.
Deflation, Trump’s Honeymoon Phase & More
Updated:
We start by taking a look at deflation in Europe. The Eurozone is nearing target inflation rates -- but looking below the surface, is it as good as it seems? Sticking with the topic of inflation, we take a deeper look at inflation hedges. Last we switch gears to politics. The first few months of a new president's term is often referred to as a honeymoon phase. So far, Donald Trump hasn't made his "bride" -- namely, the American public -- too happy.
Metals Update, Baby Boomers Driving the Market & More
Updated:
Learn why it's unusual for gold and silver to have different patterns -- as they've shown lately -- and what that means for the price trends going forward. Some insurance companies themselves might be at risk as "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news. Are "baby boomers" driving the stock market's trend?
Presidential Scandals, Corporate Insider Selling & More
Updated:
Today's episode discusses how much political damage does a scandal do to the president? We also reveal why investors should keep a close watch on corporate insider selling. And answer questions in our latest ElliottWaveTV viewer mailbag.
Active vs. Passive Investing
Updated:
Today's episode starts by looking at with active vs. passive investing, we then dig deeper into the housing market and conclude with how the Wave Principle helped anticipate a recent move in the Yuan.Asia-Pacific, Money Velocity and Real Estate
Updated:
We start with a new interview with Elliott Wave International's Asian-Pacific Markets Expert. Next week take a look at money velocity and explain how you can learn a lot from watching "how fast money changes hands." Lastly, we explain why higher delinquencies should soon be a reality.
Gold, AAA Ratings and More
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Our first feature looks at a gold forecast that many may have missed. Then we speak with Jeffrey Kennedy who outlines the four key principles that'll help improve Elliott wave skills. And lastly, we explore why AAA credit ratings aren't always what they seem.Gold's Ups and Downs & US Tech Startups
Updated:
Our first feature today explores how to get a firm handle on gold's ups and downs. Then we answer an important question: When does a forecast become a trade? Lastly, we look at the storm brewing for U.S. tech startups.
Sentiment Extreme and Market Volatility
Updated:
Listen to the latest episode to learn how to use sentiment to identify market extremes -- case in point: gold. You'll also learn the real reason stocks just turned volatile.Spotlight: Steve Hochberg
Updated:
Enjoy this in-depth interview that I recorded with Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst.Take a listen to learn why Steve thinks Elliott wave analysis is so useful and practical.
Emotions in Trading & Extremes in Stocks
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Today's episode starts off with an interview with Pete Kendall, the co-editor of the monthly Financial Forecast. Next you'll learn why ex-marines do well as investors and traders. The last feature is a conversation with Robert Kelley about stocks and several factors that are pointing to multi-year extremes.
Spotlight on Emerging Markets
Updated:
The episode starts with an in-depth interview with Mark Galasiewski who edits our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast. He tells you what helps him keep an eye on all markets across the Asian-Pacific region at the same time. In part 2 of this interview with Mark, he tells you how his analysis of Indian stocks differs from the way he looks at other markets. The last feature is from Bob Stokes. Most investors consistently lose money in financial markets. Even during a bull market, the median household saw their retirement wealth decline by 13%.
The Fed Loses Its "Superpowers"
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The central bank has a story to tell about itself. Should you believe it? If not, why not? We explain why the Fed wants you to think it has superpowers, even as it befuddles you with preposterous language. But, a whistleblower's inconvenient tape recordings changed things forever. Get the real story in our 9-minute podcast.
Econ to Comedy: The Ruin of Heroes
Updated:
What could the Federal Reserve and comedian Bill Cosby possibly have in common? In a sentence, "Ruined reputations, thanks to negative social mood." Yes it sounds bizarre -- but hear Robert Folsom and TR explore WHY the ugly hidden truths about heroes (and heroic institutions) can so suddenly make news. Listen for yourself.
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