Updated: December 3, 2019Waves of optimism and pessimism drive the stock market. When extremes in either sentiment are reached, watch for a swing in the other direction. Here are the sentiment readings from a recent survey...
Updated: November 29, 2019Financial history suggests that 2019 may be pivotal for the U.S. stock market. The just-published December Elliott Wave Theorist explains why through 12 illuminating charts. Take a look at these two sample charts ...
Updated: November 26, 2019Most stock market investors are aware of whether the prices of the main indexes have been rising or falling, but some are unaware of highly useful technical indicators. At least one of those indicators is sending an important message, just as fund managers make a "huge switch" from cash into stocks ...
Updated: November 21, 2019Long- and short-term market charts are often filled with Fibonacci relationships. Learn how this applies to the current price pattern of U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds. These two charts are instructive...
Updated: November 14, 2019Stock pickers and actively managed funds face big-time risk even if the broad market is climbing. Investing for "growth" is one of the riskiest strategies. Learn how a highly valued start-up has disappointed badly and then look at the performance of this fund...
Updated: October 29, 2019EWI's analysts use an array of technical indicators to make stock market assessments. The question always is: What do these indicators suggest for the future price path of the main indexes? Here's what our U.S. Short Term Update said about one indicator, which involves "diverging" price behavior between two stock indexes...
Updated: October 3, 2019EWI continues to shout from the rooftop that news and events do not determine the stock market's trend. Yet, many investors continue to believe so. Here's what the price pattern of the stock market would look like if investors actually reacted to the day's news rationally...
Updated: October 2, 2019Almost everyone is blaming the sudden October sell-off on the "weakest manufacturing reading in 10 years." (CNBC) It’s true that stocks fell in earnest after the data release. But you know how sometimes, the market “brushes off bad news”? Here's why it didn't this time….
Updated: October 1, 2019EWI's analysts regularly review over 100 stock market indicators to help them "assess the correct interpretation of the wave structure." Get key insights into one of these time-tested indicators as you take a look at this revealing chart...
Updated: September 26, 2019"Five waves up" means that a trend change is nigh. Two charts provide an example of how Elliott wave analysis nailed a top in an unconventional financial asset that went on to plunge as much as 90%. Now is the time to see what our analysts see for major U.S. financial markets...
Updated: September 25, 2019The advance-decline ratio is not the kind of stock market indicator you often hear about on 6 o'clock news. Yet, this may be precisely the reason to keep an eye on it. Watch our U.S. Stocks Intraday Pro Service editor show you how it performed in the past, and what it's showing for stocks next.
Updated: September 24, 2019U.S. housing prices rebounded significantly following the depths of the housing bust. However, worrisome signs are beginning to appear. Take a look at this chart from our current Financial Forecast.
Updated: September 17, 2019Many observers of the U.S. government bond market expected "concerns about the global economy" to continue to "fuel" a persistent rally. Those economic worries are still making headlines, but something has happened with the rally in 30-year Treasuries. Take a look at these two charts...
Updated: September 12, 2019The character of the stock market can change rapidly. That's why it's important to stay on top of the unfolding Elliott wave pattern and other market indicators. For example, one key indicator has just undergone a "swift reversal," as this chart shows...
Updated: August 27, 2019Could you have spotted the August reversal in stocks -- before it happened? Only the hindsight is 20/20, of course -- but even so, there are tools you can employ to spot trend reversals with high confidence.
Updated: August 6, 2019A fractured market is an unhealthy market. This group of market leaders turned down well before the main indexes' ongoing jump in volatility. Review this chart and commentary...
Updated: July 23, 2019Analysts Robert Kelly shows the charts, indicators and Elliott Wave pattern he used to anticipate the recent low and rally in the S&P 500.
Updated: July 2, 2019The S&P 500 index is widely followed but it by no means tells the whole story of the stock market. Get important insights into the performance of another index as you look at this chart ...
Updated: June 27, 2019Speculators looking for a "fast buck" turned to day trading in the late 1990s. After the ensuing bear market, house flipping became a fad. But the big housing bust only put the kibosh on this pursuit temporarily. Will a big lesson have to be learned all over again?
Updated: June 13, 2019Fundamental analysts study factors outside of the market. Technical analysts focus on the market itself. Learn what an important technical indicator is currently revealing. Plus, get insights into two others that we are watching closely...
Updated: June 6, 2019A government sling-shot is taking aim at corporate technology giants. Plus, investors in the FAANG stocks are not sleeping too well at night. Take a look at this chart...
Updated: May 24, 2019Who was prepared for the big bullish move in Treasury Notes on May 22-23 ... before it happened? See the answer for yourself onscreen right now, in Chart of the Day.
Updated: May 23, 2019Dana Weeks talks to EWI Analyst Jordan Kotick about the April low in Treasuries, how to follow the yield curve, and exactly which Treasury instrument he's got his eye on now.
Updated: May 14, 2019Buying a house is a major financial decision. We've all been admonished about "location, location, location" -- but, how about timing? Some real estate market indicators can be highly useful. Look at these two charts...
Updated: April 23, 2019Many investors believe the stock market stage is set for an explosion -- to the upside. At the same time, this indicator has been "collapsing" while another key indicator has been "tepid at best." Here are the details...
Updated: April 23, 2019Many investors believe the stock market stage is set for an explosion -- to the upside. At the same time, this indicator has been "collapsing" while another key indicator has been "tepid at best." Here are the details...
Updated: April 11, 2019It's wise to put stock market data into context. EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg does just that with a sentiment measure that is flashing a "must-know" message. This chart and commentary reveals what you need to know now.
Updated: April 5, 2019The April issue of Global Market Perspective is chock-full of incredible global market insights. See special sections on marijuana stocks around the globe and India's markets -- along with articles on Europe's QE efforts, junk bonds, and U.S. stocks.
Updated: April 4, 2019Houses have been subject to price fluctuations like the stock market for one reason: They're considered an investment as much as a place to hang your hat. Learn what our analysts are saying about an "unmistakable" trend in the real estate market...
Updated: March 26, 2019Stock prices in this prominent business sector are experiencing more turbulence than the general market. We discuss what this may mean for the main stock indexes, plus show you a revealing chart.
Updated: March 5, 2019A survey of chief financial officers reveals a near unanimous opinion about the prospects for a recession this year. This consensus has piqued our interest. Here's why...
Updated: February 1, 2019The notion that "earnings drive stock prices" powers a lot of research on Wall Street. See a chart that torches this assumption.
Updated: January 29, 2019Everyone remembers that housing prices were crushed during and even after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Are we headed toward a repeat? Here's what we've been telling subscribers...
Updated: January 2, 2019As EWI's Short Term Update explains, the media had a very clear message for investors. See what happened.
Updated: December 26, 2018The performance of this one group of stocks served as a warning for the broader stock market. See how it happened -- and keep an eye on this index going forward.
Updated: December 24, 2018
Updated: December 20, 2018You probably know that Baron Rothschild is credited with the saying that "the time to buy is when there's blood in the street." So, has the stock market decline reached that point? Is this the time to buy? These insights will help you to answer those questions...
Updated: December 18, 2018Do you have faith in the Fed? If so, a look at the central bank's portfolio might prompt second thoughts. Find out why, plus take a look at two charts which show you who is really in charge of the trend in interest rates.
Updated: December 14, 2018In January, EWFF alerted readers to the end of bitcoin's manic surge. In a Special Section that month, we forecasted that a break of the "upward curve that has supported [bitcoin's] exponential rise appears to lie directly ahead."
Updated: November 8, 2018You might think that October's wild stock market ride would have left investors quaking in their boots. Not so. Indeed, most investors are unfazed. This chart provides insight into the investing public's sentiment.
Updated: October 26, 2018“…as this thing moves faster than they expect.” Our Financial Forecast co-editors, Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall, sat down to discuss the November issue.
Updated: October 3, 2018From one year to the next, October can be quite volatile. See our Financial Forecast co-editors, Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall, outline what they think is important for you to know as we head into the seasonal volatility period.
Updated: September 18, 2018Many stock market observers believe that prices are random and unpredictable. You might think so, too. Yet, our experience proves that repetitive, predictable price patterns show up in market charts at all degrees of trend. See for yourself.
Updated: September 4, 2018There's much more to knowing the trend than seeing whether stocks closed in positive or negative territory on any given day. It usually pays to "look under the hood" of the stock market a little deeper. Here's one of the more important factors to examine.
Updated: August 16, 2018Have you ever wondered why market observers sometimes ignore "bad news" -- but, at other times, focus on it entirely? Here's the key insight that you need to know, as we focus on the sentiment surrounding Facebook.
Updated: August 13, 2018It would be easy to blame the Dow Jones Industrial Average's triple-digit Friday (Aug. 10) sell-off on an escalating financial crisis in Turkey and a very anti-Turkey same-day tweet by U.S. President Donald Trump. But "easy" isn't always right.
Updated: August 7, 2018Many employees of state and local governments in the U.S. are expecting a financially "comfortable" retirement. But, a big shock likely awaits. Here's a sobering perspective.
Updated: July 6, 2018History shows that a divergence between the DJIA and NASDAQ deserves your attention. This chart helps to tell the story.
Updated: July 2, 2018The S&P 500 is trading similarly to how gold traded in 2011. Watch our long-time U.S. Financial Forecast co-editors Steve Hochberg and Peter Kendal touch on this story, and more.
Updated: July 2, 2018Will the FDIC protect your deposits in case your bank goes under? If another financial crisis hits, millions of depositors may be more vulnerable than they realize. Here are insights you need to know.
Updated: June 20, 2018First AT&T-Time Warner. Now Disney and Comcast's battle over Fox. History says these mega-mergers send a signal about the stock market's trend. Discover what it is in this clip from an interview with EWI's Murray Gunn on WSVA radio.
Updated: June 19, 2018Stock market served a lot of traders a big surprise on Tuesday. For some insight, we called Robert Kelley, editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service.
Updated: June 19, 2018The patterns of investor psychology never change. For example, investors tend to go "all in" near tops. Learn how this applies to recent market history.
Updated: June 14, 2018It seems strange, but the stock market is an arena of human activity where the professionals usually fail when it counts the most -- at major turns. With that in mind, learn how the past is related to what's going on now.
Updated: June 7, 2018It happened just weeks before the historic October 2007 stock market top: Investors had "become utterly unconcerned with risk," as the September 2007 Elliott Wave Theorist remarked. With that in mind, this update on investor psychology should interest every market participant...
Updated: June 7, 2018The Wave Principle not only helps you see around the corner, it can also alert you to connections that most people wouldn't even think to look for. Sometimes it does both.
Updated: June 6, 2018"Hard to pack it all in..." That's how editors Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall describe the June 2018 Financial Forecast -- from once-in-a-generation charts and data on investor psychology, to the direct link showing what food has to do with financial markets, to how today's employment picture parallels an earlier specific point in time. Discover what's next in the coming week, month and beyond.
Updated: June 1, 2018As far as we know at EWI, bear markets have not been banned. And, unless history stops repeating itself, another one is inevitable. Yet, even after a nine-year upturn, some market observers continue to anticipate only temporary dips.
Updated: May 22, 2018Those who linearly extrapolate social and financial trends into the future are usually surprised when big changes occur. Now is the time to learn what EWI anticipates next for financial markets, the economy and society.
Updated: May 16, 2018EWI's analysts know the technical indicators which have proven their value over the years. One of these time-tested indicators is sending a warning that should be of interest to every investor .
Updated: May 14, 2018Huge business bets on the future often occur at landmark stock market tops. Here is why that is important to know right now.
Updated: May 9, 2018Most observers interpret the April jobless rate of 3.9% as sign that more smooth sailing is ahead for the economy. But the historical record shows what has actually followed milestone lows in the jobless rate. You may be in for a big surprise as you look at this chart.
Updated: May 9, 2018Robert Folsom highlights a chart from the May 2018 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and explains what it means for US markets.
Updated: May 9, 2018That's the question the BBC posed after Russia released an animated video featuring missiles headed toward Tampa. Are we in a new Cold War? Why can't the U.S. and Russia just get along? Discover a perspective you won't get from the mainstream in this conversation with Alan Hall on WOCA radio.
Updated: May 9, 2018Economists and sociologists can talk until they're blue in the face about why millennials are putting off marriage and having fewer kids. But as Matt Lampert reveals in this conversation from WGN's Opening Bell, we've seen the "fewer children" phenomenon before -- and it sends an important message about the social mood trend and the economy's prospects for long-term health.
Updated: April 24, 2018Each Elliott wave has its own "personality." Learn about the market's recent characteristics, and what they suggest about the stock market's next big move.
Updated: April 23, 2018This excerpt from the April 2018 Financial Forecast focuses on the relationship of news and the U.S. stock indexes -- and what it means for investors, socionomically. Read it now to understand why "the real drama lies ahead."
Updated: April 20, 2018The president threatens antitrust action against Amazon. Congress recently grilled Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg. We've seen this story before, as Murray Gunn reveals in this clip from a conversation with Kara Ro on CKLW radio.
Updated: April 20, 2018Trade tensions have subsided ... for now. Should we breathe a sigh of relief, or are more tough times ahead for trade? Hear EWI's Murray Gunn size up the risks to come, in this clip from a conversation on KFKA radio.
Updated: April 3, 2018Learn how the "basics" of Elliott wave analysis helped to nail the recent low in the U.S. Dollar Index. Take a look at these two charts.
Updated: April 3, 2018Soaring stocks and record home run seasons go hand-in-glove. What's the secret behind this curious correlation, and what would a bear market in stocks mean for the more-home-runs trend in baseball? Discover the answers in this interview with Alan Hall on WINA radio.
Updated: April 3, 2018You learn a lot by you observing and forecasting the markets 20+ years. Jeffrey Kennedy, our Trader's Classroom editor, tells you which part of the basic Elliott wave pattern offers you a high-probability of staying on the right side of the market. (And no, it's not the 3rd wave!)
Updated: March 26, 2018Most money managers measure success by whether they "beat a benchmark" like the S&P. Yet, data show that over 90% of them come up short. We'd like to share some thoughts on why it's a wrong goal to begin with.
Updated: March 20, 2018Uncertainty always reigns in financial markets. This prompts most investors to look to others for clues about what to do. Even the smartest speculators "join the crowd" -- often, at most inopportune moments. Learn why the Elliott wave model helps you navigate the seas of uncertainty.
Updated: March 13, 2018When this group finally acts on a market trend, you can almost be sure that the trend is about to change. A historic chart tells you what you need to know.
Updated: March 6, 2018Many market observers believe that financial bubbles can "deflate" in an orderly way. But the stock market is not governed by cold reason. See these examples and learn about "the last great myth of every financial euphoria."
Updated: March 6, 2018Negative mood can prompt action and reaction – Jordan Kotick's interview with Robert Folsom explores the epic confrontation that unfolded once U.S. government power went too far for too long.
Updated: March 5, 2018The Elliott wave model employs strict rules and guidelines. And at this market juncture, the implications of what it's revealing are huge.
Updated: February 6, 2018Financial commentators regularly try to connect the day's news with the stock market's action. It seems such a logical thing to do. But here's why investors who buy or sell based on the news might want to re-consider this approach.
Updated: January 31, 2018Even as U.S. stocks kept breaking records lately, the stock market "fear index," the VIX, has been rising. Is that a sign of more trouble to come for the stock market? Robert Kelley, our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service editor, gives ElliottWaveTV a few illuminating answers.
Updated: January 30, 2018Investors who've been on the sidelines are fed up with "missing out!" In recent weeks, money flows into equities have sharply risen. This chart shows you why market risk is sharply rising, too.
Updated: January 29, 2018The mainstream financial press analyzes every word of the Fed's discussions about interest rates. But it's a myth that the U.S. central bank determines the direction of rates. These two charts are revealing.
Updated: January 25, 2018Think a booming economy is bullish for the stock market? Discover how you can bust this market myth in 60 seconds, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: January 22, 2018Today, many mainstream market strategists anticipate a healthy pullback in this high-flying bull market. We've seen such sentiment before...
Updated: January 18, 2018Should an investor's goal be to "beat the market"? Here's how this investment strategy can severely hurt your portfolio.
Updated: January 16, 2018Record-breaking start to the new year has some investors cheering, some worried. On Tuesday, Jan. 16, our ElliottWaveTV anchor sat down with Robert Kelley, our U.S. stocks intraday opportunities analyst, to get his take on the tone of this year's trading, so far.
Updated: January 16, 2018The recent slide in U.S. bond prices is being blamed on the news that China may stop buying U.S. Treasuries. A famous guru says a bond bear market is upon us. But 30-year U.S. T-bond prices topped in 2016, when China was still happy to buy U.S. debt. How come?
Updated: January 11, 2018Stock market bulls are having a "happy new year" indeed, and at least one Wall Street bank expects equity prices to be even higher at the end of 2018. The bulls may end up being right, but from observing market behavior for almost 40 years, here at EWI we know this...
Updated: January 10, 2018Today's polarized politics may seem out of sync with the mood behind the soaring stock market. But as this socionomics preview video reveals, history offers a precedent to help us understand the present and a guide for what's likely to come.
Updated: January 9, 2018It would seem logical that an expanding trade deficit would be a negative for the economy and stock market. But EWI's decades of research reveals a startling truth. See a chart that exposes one of the biggest market myths of all time.
Updated: December 29, 2017A mainstream financial publication just said "Now more than ever, it's time to diversify." Diversification is supposed to cushion your portfolio during periods of volatility. If one or more assets decline in value, one or more others will rise -- or so the reasoning goes. Learn why this can be a dangerous financial notion during this particular economic trend.
Updated: December 18, 2017Myths about financial markets are perpetuated because almost no one bothers to check the actual data. For example, consider the widely held belief that precious metals perform well during recessions. Learn what the historical record reveals.
Updated: December 13, 2017Most investors extrapolate financial trends into the future. So, they are usually unprepared when the trend changes. Making matters worse, they also usually miss significant countertrend moves. Let's take a look at the bond market.
Updated: December 6, 2017Hedge fund managers are reputed to be among the smartest of the smart on Wall Street. So, you might be surprised that they make the same critical mistake that most novice investors make. This chart helps to explain.
Updated: December 4, 2017Many people regard a house as an investment -- not just as a place to live. But, when a "consumption" item is treated like an "investment," a financially dangerous psychology develops. Learn what a recent study says about some of real estate's "investment advantages."
Updated: November 24, 2017In Part 1 of this new interview, Robert Kelley, the editor of our U.S. Intraday Stocks Pro Service, tells you what Elliott waves and other technical indicators suggest for U.S. stocks as we go into the holiday season.
Updated: November 21, 2017Think the Fed's interest rates control the stock market? Watch as Matt Lampert shows you how to bust this market myth in 2 minutes, using real-world examples from Robert Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance.
Updated: November 17, 2017Investors are borrowing like never before to invest in stocks. This is not surprising to our Elliott wave experts. "Aggressive speculation is a hallmark of fifth waves...."
Updated: November 9, 2017A group of investors with very deep pockets has been engaging in a long stretch of extraordinary stock buying. Here in November, even more buying has been announced. See a chart and learn what The Elliott Wave Theorist has to say about it.
Updated: November 6, 2017Many investors are tempted to buy any "dip" during a stock market uptrend. But this psychology has its perils. Here's what usually happens after a full market cycle has played out.
Updated: November 3, 2017A new survey reveals what millionaire investors are doing with their capital -- find out the details. Also learn about the unprecedented market action of mutual fund managers.
Updated: November 2, 2017A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.
Updated: November 2, 2017A famous advertisement says, "diamonds are forever." However, financial up-trends are not. Learn about these signs of a dangerous financial optimism.
Updated: October 27, 2017Social mood fluctuates between extremes of optimism and pessimism. At least two developments suggest that a major trend change is afoot. Get the details.
Updated: October 25, 2017Robert Kelley, the editor of our US Stocks Intraday Pro Service, tells you about a sentiment extreme that he's seen recently. Watch this new interview to find out what has caught his attention and what they mean for U.S. stocks going forward.
Updated: October 23, 2017If there's ever been a time to resist the impulse to follow the investing crowd, now is that time. Large speculators are making a bet that's four times larger than what they made in January 2008. Take a look at this chart.
Updated: October 16, 2017Many investors see almost no risk in the stock market. Indeed, they are betting to a record degree that the stock market will continue to rise. In EWI's view, here's what this extreme financial optimism strongly suggests.
Updated: October 13, 2017A group of stock market bears has just done an about-face. One of EWI's analysts describes the switch as "stunning." A chart helps to explain.
Updated: October 9, 2017FANG stocks -- Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Google (now Alphabet) -- hit their most recent share price highs about two months ago. Is this the time to "buy the dip," or a sign that the NASDAQ 100 is "cruising for a bruising"?
Updated: October 4, 2017Why do investors keep making the same mistakes -- i.e., buying at highs and selling at lows? The answer is that their psychology never changes. If you're an independent thinker, you can potentially benefit from this knowledge. Let's take a look at the U.S. Dollar Index.
Updated: October 2, 2017Many investors seek to mirror the trades of Warren Buffett. See how EWI analysts took the opposite side of a Buffet trade and how "Warren Buffett Versus the Wave Principle" has worked out so far.
Updated: September 27, 2017The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast warned about this financially dangerous sign of " wild-eyed optimism" in June 2007, and the stock market went on to top some four months later. Now, in 2017, the same warning sign is appearing. Get the details you need to know.
Updated: September 20, 2017The U.S. Dollar Index has been on a steady slide since its January high, and one foreign exchange strategist expects the downward trend to continue. But financial markets often move in the opposite direction from the prevailing sentiment. See how this knowledge can help you seize opportunities that most others miss.
Updated: September 18, 2017Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.
Updated: September 11, 2017In 1939, Edgar Lawrence Smith discussed the stock market's Decennial Pattern. It "has been remarkably useful." One of the aspects of the Decennial Pattern relates directly to 2017. Get the details.
Updated: September 8, 2017Bonds are generally considered far less risky than the stock market. That's a big reason why flows into bond mutual funds and ETFs have been substantial in the past two years. But there's a major reason to be wary of the bond market. See for yourself.
Updated: September 7, 2017Troublesome developments are occurring in the U.S. housing market. Media outlets are saying that "an acute shortage of properties" is hurting sales. But, the real story is revealed in these chart patterns.
Updated: September 6, 2017Historically, financially themed Hollywood productions have often coincided with trend changes in the DJIA. Now, a motion picture that is based on one of the biggest financial bubbles of all time has just opened at theaters. The movie tells a "financial story that's fascinating ... ."
Updated: August 29, 2017If supply disruptions cause oil prices to go up, can you tell when on this chart the most destructive hurricane in U.S. history arrived?
Updated: August 28, 2017President Trump. Love him or hate him, if you watch the news you have to deal with him. But for how long? Discover the president's chances to survive impeachment in this Chart of the Day video.
Updated: August 23, 2017See 11 charts from ONE page of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist.
Updated: August 22, 2017Periods of low stock market volatility are inevitably followed by high volatility. The DJIA just registered its worst day in three months. See the chart that helped us to anticipate the "turbulence."
Updated: August 22, 2017Tesla's share price at an all-time high, its junk bond yield at a record low. Today's investor appetite for risk is strong indeed...
Updated: August 18, 2017See the on-target stock market forecasts subscribers read before the big decline on August 17.
Updated: August 18, 2017Watch Matt Lampert, Director of Research at the Socionomics Institute, show how you can use Elliott waves to act more confidently in other areas of your life, not just in the markets.
Updated: August 11, 2017Right now is one of those special moments in the markets that will determine where stocks go for the next few weeks -- and the next few months. Watch this clip from a new interview with our Chief Market Analyst to learn why stocks today find themselves at such a critical moment in their Elliott wave pattern.
Updated: August 10, 2017The big flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and North Korea has dominated the news. And some financial observers are saying this is why gold's price has been rising. Yet, see how "seller exhaustion and a trend reversal" was indicated a month ago, suggesting a gold rally ahead.
Updated: August 7, 2017The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
Updated: August 4, 2017Many investors are just as committed to the stock market as they were at the January 2000 top. The same patterns of investor psychology appear to repeat themselves. Take a look at these two charts.
Updated: August 2, 2017A burst of technological innovations and rip-roaring bull markets tend to go hand-in-hand. Find out about one particular concept that "has a long history that lines up well with key junctures in stock prices."
Updated: July 31, 2017In the mid-2000s, the world feared it was running out of oil. Speculators, in turn, became feverishly bullish on oil's price. A 78% crash soon followed. Now, the phrase "peak oil" has been re-introduced, but in a different way.
Updated: July 26, 2017The stock market began to rally long before Donald Trump was elected president. What's more, the evidence shows that the rally would have likely occurred even if another candidate had won. It boils down to the market's price pattern -- see for yourself.
Updated: July 20, 2017Some trends pull prices like a freight train, and jumping on the wrong one can cost you dearly. That's why, in the Elliott wave approach, identifying the trend is paramount. Let's look at crude oil prices as an example.
Updated: July 19, 2017A housing market measure that just surged to the highest level ever may also be a warning to home buyers. We saw a similar development 10 years ago, when the worst part of the housing market implosion was still ahead.
Updated: July 17, 2017Gold and silver are widely considered classic inflation hedges. But conventional wisdom often does not square with reality. Market observers tend to see what fits with their paradigm. This will change yours.
Updated: July 14, 2017Stock market action in recent weeks suggests that the enthusiasm for the technology sector is simmering down. More than that, outright animosity is being directed toward some of technology's biggest names. Here's what we see down the road.
Updated: July 10, 2017Some U.S. real estate markets have bounced back strongly since the Great Recession while others have languished. All told, "the recovery is spotty at best." Now, two new developments are adding risk to the mortgage market.
Updated: July 7, 2017Global market charts you won't see elsewhere show "What" -- and What Not -- to Fear.
Updated: June 30, 2017Stock picking is losing favor. On the other hand, passive investing is growing in popularity. This fits with the stock market's Elliott wave pattern. The mania is not over, but the end might be closer than many investors realize.
Updated: June 23, 2017The housing market is heating up -- again. Signs are appearing that are reminders of the previous housing boom. "Buyers are convinced values will only continue to climb ... ." Is the housing trend near a reversal?
Updated: June 19, 2017Sir Isaac Newton famously said that "for every action, there is an equal and opposite re-action." But does this "law of motion" apply to finance? Many investors believe so, but the evidence shows that economic news does not affect the stock market.
Updated: June 15, 2017On June 14, the price of U.S. oil fell below $45 a barrel, and some are blaming the slide on oversupply. But, is that the real reason? See how the Elliott wave model has been highly useful in staying ahead of oil's trend turns.
Updated: June 12, 2017The head of credit research for a municipal-bond management firm just commented: "We haven't seen this in a modern state before." He was talking about Illinois' deep fiscal trouble. Look at the eye-brow-raising credit spread.
Updated: June 7, 2017In investing, one rule of thumb tells you that the higher the return, the higher the risk. Today, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone. We're sounding the alarm -- again.
Updated: June 6, 2017See 3 global market charts that answer the question, Has Investor "Courage" Gone "Crazy"?
Updated: June 5, 2017The U.S. housing market has staged a significant rebound since prices bottomed in February 2012. Now, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?
Updated: June 2, 2017Critics say President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement dealt a setback to the global-warming cause. But, the evidence suggests that "global-warming fever" had already been cooling off. "Crowds often think their personal cause of the moment is a permanent issue. It almost never is."
Updated: May 26, 2017"The writing appears to be on the wall" for public pension plans -- and $3.6 trillion is on the line. Managers have been "embracing riskier assets and sweeping underfunded liabilities under the rug." Now, here's an update.
Updated: May 18, 2017At the start of 2017, a widely expected "Trump Bump" was supposed to keep the U.S. dollar on solid, bullish ground. But instead, the currency reversed from a 14-year high to the 6-month low we see today. Find out why!
Updated: May 17, 2017Maxwell Edison may have majored in medicine, as the Beatles sang, but many of the "brainiacs" on Wall Street are hedge fund managers. Even so, their performance record at key market turns often leaves a lot to be desired. See this eye-opening bond market chart.
Updated: May 15, 2017A chief investment officer just told USA Today, "Listening to the 6 o'clock news gets investors off track." Find out why he made that statement. Plus, see what a "news-driven" and rational-reaction graph of stock prices would look like. (Hint: It's nothing you'd ever see in real life.)
Updated: May 5, 2017There's a sizeable gap between investor expectations and historical market returns. Chalk it up to ramped-up optimism and what psychologists call "information avoidance." Two surveys and one chart are revealing.
Updated: May 1, 2017NYSE margin debt levels reached records in the milestone market years of 2000 and 2007. But wait until you see what that level is now. Plus, find out how hedge funds are making matters even more precarious.
Updated: April 26, 2017If investors would only review the historical data, they would discover the sobering truth about news and the stock market. Do you believe a presidential assassination or a major terrorist attack would affect the market's trend? Find out what really happened.
Updated: April 25, 2017Our three recent Treasury Bond charts combine to show you trader sentiment, price action and important near-term turns and trends.
Updated: April 17, 2017Even professionals have a hard time beating the market. But a study of 2600 stock recommendations by market technicians vs. fundamentalists came to this "striking conclusion."
Updated: April 13, 2017If you're a gambler or trader, you know what it means to "hedge your bet." It's how you offset your losses if you bet on the wrong horse, or on the wrong market position. Yet today, falling demand for equity hedges suggests an absence of fear among stock traders and investors. This chart shows you why.
Updated: April 11, 2017In 2007, the KBW Bank index turned down months ahead of the DJIA. In 2017, optimistic expectations are again running high for the financial sector. Ironically, history shows that investors should be the most worried when financial fear is absent. Let's review today's position of the "fear index" VIX and KBW Bank Index.
Updated: April 6, 2017Crude oil prices fell sharply on April 5. Analysts blamed the dip on a surprise jump in U.S. crude inventories. But take a look at this chart before you accept that explanation.
Updated: March 24, 2017You buy insurance for protection, but some insurance companies themselves might be at risk. You need to know which ones are safe. "A massive insurance company failure" just made the news.
Updated: March 23, 2017Two trader groups habitually on opposite sides of the market are at it again: See what past extremes say to the present trend.
Updated: March 17, 2017The Fed just announced a 0.25% hike of its benchmark rate -- the second such move in the past three months. A long-held Wall Street belief is that higher rates mean a downturn in stock market prices. Let's put that belief to a test.
Updated: March 7, 2017The financial media regularly rationalizes fluctuations in the markets by attributing them to various news and events. "A causes B." We take a different view.
Updated: February 21, 2017Market bears have suffered a severe shellacking as stocks embarked on a record-breaking run. But a classic Elliott wave price pattern gave investors a heads-up a year ago. See for yourself.
Updated: February 13, 2017Our U.S. equity analyst, Tom Prindaville, shares his background and analytical approach to the markets in this spotlight video.
Updated: January 20, 2017Residential real estate prices in major global cities rebounded sharply during the current bull market, especially at the high-end. Now, real estate developers grapple with price deflation. At least one real estate indicator is flashing a bigger warning than it did in 2007.
Updated: August 12, 2016Each Elliott wave pattern has its own common Fibonacci relationships between waves. You can use them to set your price targets and determine where the trend should reverse.
Updated: July 26, 2016Every new earnings season analysts discuss their impact on the broad stock market. Yet, the idea of earnings driving the broad trend is a GIANT myth -- and this chart proves it.
Updated: May 20, 2016On May 3, the EURUSD turned down (i.e. falling euro, rising U.S. dollar) in a powerful reversal to two-month lows on May 20. Turns out, the euro's sell-off was not in the popular, Fed-led script handed out by mainstream analysts. It was, however, in the Elliott wave one.
Updated: January 15, 2016Pete Kendall, the editor of our Financial Forecast, tells you why Elliott wave analysis is particularly suited for emotional trading environments -- like the one we're in now.
Updated: October 22, 2015Our Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy values the Wave Principle not only as an analytical tool, but also as a real-time trading tool. In this excerpt from the Best of Trader's Classroom eBook, he shows you how the Wave Principle's built-in rules can help you set your protective stops when trading.
Updated: February 10, 2014Fibonacci ratios show up throughout nature -- and in financial markets. Come see what we see.
Updated:Watch the preview video that leads this month's Global Market Perspective publication. Learn what's covered in this month's issue.
Updated:<p>Sentiment gets one-sided only at certain points in the markets' Elliott wave pattern. Learn what sentiment gauges are telling you about the market trend. Yield spreads widen for Illinois, Connecticut and New Jersey. Muni bond yield spreads will make you wonder about the future. President Trump finds his administration embroiled in controversy and investigation. Learn how social mood will influence the outcome of this chapter in American history.</p>
Updated:<p>Learn why the recent price action in gold suggests to him that gold prices may be entering a risky period soon. Plus, one high-yield debt instrument that was at the forefront of the 2007-2009 financial crisis has reached a new, dangerous milestone and we're sounding the alarm. Lastly, at least one measure of optimism has returned to the height of the bubble days. Some say not to worry because "the economy is in far better shape than a decade ago." Is today really different?</p>
Updated:<p>Learn how looking at social mood can offer clarity to one of America's oldest ongoing political controversies, plus why Elliott Wave International believes the "Trump Bump" was in the cards LONG before Trump, and lastly, the BIG story everyone missed in 2016 and what it means for you now.</p>
Updated:<p>Our first feature today explores how to get a firm handle on gold's ups and downs. Then we answer an important question: When does a forecast become a trade? Lastly, we look at the storm brewing for U.S. tech startups.</p>
Updated:<p>Today's episode starts off with an interview with Pete Kendall, the co-editor of the monthly <em>Financial Forecast</em>. Next you'll learn why ex-marines do well as investors and traders. The last feature is a conversation with Robert Kelley about stocks and several factors that are pointing to multi-year extremes.</p>
Updated:<p>Enjoy this in-depth interview that I recorded with Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst.Take a listen to learn why Steve thinks Elliott wave analysis is so useful and practical. </p>