Free Commentary

Below, browse our latest free commentary with videos and articles.

“Lizard People” and Other Conspiracies: What’s Social Mood Got to Do with It?

In a word, everything. From political conspiracies to Covid-related ones to the theories so bizarre that they seem too silly to be relevant, we live in the golden age of conspiracy theories. And while it’s easy to blame social media for their spread, we think the roots go deeper. Watch our new Mood Riff episode where the host Greg Eident explains some fascinating socionomic findings on the subject.

Investing: What You Can Learn from Mom and Pop

Sentiment indicators provide valuable information, yet they are best used in conjunction with Elliott wave analysis. Here's one time-tested indicator that has recently displayed a "big surge."

Market Trek: "No crowd buys stocks of other countries intelligently"

When you track historical patterns of foreign investments in U.S. equities, an important picture emerges. Watch as our Market Trek host Brian Whitmer walks you through a chart of the collective foreign buying interest going back to the 1990s and through today. (Brian's global destination is South Korea.)

Jobless Rate Will Likely Skyrocket in UK – Here’s Why

In the latter part of 2022, unemployment was not much of a problem in the UK. Since then, job searches have been a little tougher. Learn why the jobless rate in the UK is set to explode much higher than many observers anticipate.

Why China May Be Headed for Severe Economic Turbulence

China is facing major economic challenges. The real estate sector is particularly troublesome. Elliott Wave International has provided warnings. Now, here's an update.

Is a Democrat or Republican President Better for Stocks? (You Might Be Surprised)

Should stock market investors worry more about a U.S. president who is a Republican or one who's a Democrat? The research is revealing -- and so is this single outlier.

How to Put Market Corrections to Good Use

When you first learn Elliott wave analysis, the one move you always want to catch is wave 3. After all, it's the strongest and usually longest part of the basic wave pattern. But HOW exactly do you catch one? Watch our Interest Rates Pro Service editor Nady Laymoud show how he uses market corrections to answer that question. (U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds in focus).

EXCLUSIVE

Indian Stocks: Will Sensex Crack 100,000?

Indian stocks have done better than many other global markets lately. That fits our Elliott wave forecast first made back in 2008. But does the Sensex have what it takes to overpower global turmoil and keep rising? Watch our Global Market Perspective contributor Mark Galasiewski touch on that as he walks you through a long-term Sensex chart.

"IT'S GO TIME"

With the yields on the 3-month U.S. T-bill at their highest in 22 years, "IT'S GO TIME," says our new, September Financial Forecast. Watch FF co-editor Peter Kendall walk you through an eye-opener of a chart stretching back to the 1990s to explain what "go" means.

What Will Happen to That $30 Trillion in U.S. Home Equity?

U.S. home equity is near record-levels -- just below the peak of 2022. Yet, there's at least one sign that change is just ahead. Here's what you can learn from the prior housing bust.

Insights into the Implosion of ESG Debt

Investors in ESG bonds are smarting -- big time. The collapse in these bonds has been steep. Learn why you need to be wary of ratings agency decisions.

Nvidia's "Blockbuster" Gains: Delusion or Very Real, Bullish Development?

On August 29, tech giant Nvidia Inc. whose chips are key for the exploding artificial intelligence market soared to its highest level ever. The "fundamental" explanation for the stock's rise seems clear as a chatbot's cursor; namely, A.I. fervor has stoked the rally. But we think it's time for an upgrade on this news-led model.

EXCLUSIVE

August "Funk" Got Bitcoin, Too, But for How Long?

The liquidity in the Bitcoin market has been drying up. Trading volume has been flat. Bitcoin traders are feeling... meh; not too hot, not too cold. But, as our monthly Global Market Perspective cryptocurrency contributor Tony Carrion explains, soon "something's gotta give." Watch as he explains more.

“Climbing Oil Prices Bearish for Stocks”? It’s a Myth!

On days when the stock market falls as oil prices rise, the financial media are usually quick to "link" the two. But is there really a "cause and effect" at work here? Let's take a close look.

2 Economic Indicators Fall Fast – Recession Ahead?

A major Wall Street firm just said that there's only a slight chance of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months. That opinion might turn out to be right. On the other hand, here are two economic indicators which point in a different direction.

EXCLUSIVE

Interest Rates Around 5% - Get Your Eyes on the Prize!

If you began investing after the 2008 financial crisis, you probably never considered keeping money in a bank savings account. Until today. Might the rates climb even higher? Let's first look at how we got here.

Jobs in the U.S.: “Trouble in Paradise”

Job hoppers beware: the jobs market in the private sector is deteriorating, according to the latest figures. You may not want to count on a quick revival. Here's a reminder of when the unemployed lined the streets.

Volatility Is at 3-Year Lows. Is That a Bullish Sign?

Watch as our monthly European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer gives you a peek inside the new, September issue -- and mentions one market that "impacts every other market on the planet."