Socionomics and Social Mood

Changes in social mood precede changes in the markets, the economy, politics and more. Understanding this insight equips you to anticipate major shifts in trends and capitalize on lucrative opportunities before most people see them coming. Content provided by EWI's affiliated research organization, the Socionomics Institute.

History Currently Favors Trump Reelection Despite the Polls

If you look at the polls and the headlines, you’d think Joe Biden is a strong favorite in the 2020 race. 200+ years of stock market history beg to differ. See why the real strong favorite in the race may not be who you think.

What Does Trump’s COVID Diagnosis Mean for the Markets?

The president’s COVID-19 diagnosis comes a month before the election. Will markets crash if his health deteriorates? Will they soar if he gets well? See real-time examples of how the Elliott wave model can help you cut through the chaos to find clarity when dramatic news strikes.

EXCLUSIVE

Why This Could Be a "Very Bleak Winter for the U.K."

Elliott wave analysis suggests that the next few months could be quite historic for the British stock market, the economy and British pound. Our Head of Global Research (who is based in London) explains.

See THREE Dow Levels You Need to Know to Predict the 2020 Election

Who will win in November? Ignore the polls and the betting markets. Keep your eyes on these three levels in the Dow instead.

Off with His Head: Kingdoms Fall When Social Mood Shifts to Negative

Big negative social mood trends drive big market declines. These trends ALSO drive social conflict, even revolution. So in periods of big bear market declines, we see that monarchs also fall. Watch for yourself just how true this is.

EXCLUSIVE

When It Comes to News vs. Markets, It's Not "What" -- It's "When"

At market tops, the news is full of positive stories. Near bottoms, it's full of negativity. That's why those who invest strictly on the news often buy at tops and sell at bottoms. Watch our Global Head of Research explain how to "read" the current tone of British news properly.

What the Heck is Going on in the Stock Market?

Those who think stock prices move rationally in response to news must find themselves entwined in a ball of confusion. The economy is in recession, unemployment's in double digits, unrest flows through the streets, a global pandemic resurges... yet stock prices have soared. The truth is that stock prices aren't regulated by news or even, as you'll discover in this clip, economic fundamentals and valuation benchmarks.

Horror Movies and Bear Markets: A (Non) Surprising Correlation

Remember “Seinfeld”? The happy-go-lucky show dominated TV prime time during the booming 1990s. Then the internet bubble burst and we got “Survivor.” You’ll find a similar connection between stocks and movies -- our August Financial Forecast explains.

Discover Why We’re Living in an Age of Turbulence

Federal agents and protesters clash in the streets. Free speech proponents and antagonists clash online. Branches of government clash in the courts. Why can’t we all just get along? And why does civic life these days seem to be anything but business as usual? The answers to these questions reveal something profound about the social mood trend, with implications for what to expect in the financial markets, the economy, politics and beyond.

7 Days of Global Opportunities (FreeWeek: July 23 – 30)

You hear lots of opinions about the markets. But who's right? Everyone has an angle. Now, at no cost, you can hear from the world's largest independent forecasting company. Our forecasts can help you make objective choices. Free, on July 23 -- 30, join us for 1 week of global insights into 50+ markets. See the difference independent analysis makes.

Election 2020: On a Knife's Edge

Forget the polls, betting markets and even the economy. One indicator with a 228-year track record is signaling that this year's election is a lot closer than you think.

Why the Spirit of '68 is Alive in 2020

Many cultural observers have noted the parallels between 1968 and 2020: protests, a pandemic, a contentious presidential election, a fierce stock market rally and a historic space launch. But the question remains: why are these two years so similar? The lead article in the July issue of The Socionomist has the answer and assesses the probable ramifications for the future of social trends. Read it free.

Why Bond Buyers Now Face Extraordinary Risk

Investors have been pouring into bonds like there’s no tomorrow. The degree to which risk is being ignored is remarkable. Indeed, this noteworthy bond-market measure is now at a “record high.”

Markets "Make No Sense"? Try Elliott Waves (Parts I & II)

Mark Galasiewski, chief equity analyst for Asia and emerging markets with Elliott Wave International, explains how the Elliott Wave model can help investors make sense of apparently chaotic patterns in financial markets.

See 7 Signs That Showed the Age of Turbulence Was Nigh

A year ago, we reminded readers that attacks on successful corporations are hallmarks of falling transitions. But that wasn’t the only signal on our radar that suggested volatile times were ahead. Discover the cultural clues that echoed prior tops and foreshadowed turbulence in the markets and social life.